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Detailed Chapter 11 Probability Distributions TN Board Solutions for Class 12 Maths
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Class 12 Maths Chapter 11 Probability Distributions TN Board Solutions PDF
Choose the most suitable answer from the given four alternatives:
Question 1. Let X be random variable with probability density function \( f(x) = \begin{cases} \frac{2}{x^3} & x \ge 1 \\ 0 & x < 1 \end{cases} \) Which of the following statement is correct? variance exist
(b) Mean exists but variance does not exist
(c) Both mean and variance do not exist
(d) Variance exists but Mean does not exist
Answer: (b) Mean exists but variance does not exist
\( E(X) = \int_{1}^{\infty} x \cdot f(x) dx = \int_{1}^{\infty} x \cdot \frac{2}{x^3} dx \)
\( = 2 \int_{1}^{\infty} \frac{1}{x^2} dx \)
\( = 2 \left[ -\frac{1}{x} \right]_{1}^{\infty} \)
\( = -2 \left[ \frac{1}{\infty} - \frac{1}{1} \right] \)
\( = -2 [0 - 1] \)
\( = 2 \)
So, the Mean exists.
\( E(X^2) = \int_{1}^{\infty} x^2 \cdot f(x) dx = \int_{1}^{\infty} x^2 \cdot \frac{2}{x^3} dx \)
\( = 2 \int_{1}^{\infty} \frac{1}{x} dx \)
\( = 2 [\log x]_{1}^{\infty} \)
\( = 2 [\log \infty - \log 1] \)
\( = 2 [\infty - 0] \)
\( = \infty \)
Since \( E(X^2) \) is undefined (infinite), the Variance also does not exist.
In simple words: The mean of a probability distribution tells us the average value we expect. The variance tells us how spread out the values are. For this function, we can calculate a clear average value (mean), but the spread (variance) is so large that it is considered undefined or infinite. This means the values are extremely spread out.
π― Exam Tip: To check if the mean and variance exist for a probability density function, you need to evaluate the integrals for \( E(X) = \int x f(x) dx \) and \( E(X^2) = \int x^2 f(x) dx \). If these integrals converge to a finite value, then the mean and variance exist respectively.
Question 2. A rod of length 2l is broken into two pieces at random. The probability density function of the shorter of the two pieces is \( f(x) = \begin{cases} \frac{1}{l} & 0 \le x < l \\ 0 & l \le x < 2l \end{cases} \) The mean and variance of the shorter of the two pieces are respectively
(a) \( \frac{l}{2}, \frac{l^2}{3} \)
(b) \( \frac{l}{2}, \frac{l^2}{6} \)
(c) \( l, \frac{l^2}{12} \)
(d) \( \frac{l}{2}, \frac{l^2}{12} \)
Answer: (d) \( \frac{l}{2}, \frac{l^2}{12} \)
To find the mean \( E(X) \):
\( E(X) = \int_{0}^{l} x \cdot f(x) dx = \int_{0}^{l} x \cdot \frac{1}{l} dx \)
\( = \frac{1}{l} \int_{0}^{l} x dx \)
\( = \frac{1}{l} \left[ \frac{x^2}{2} \right]_{0}^{l} \)
\( = \frac{1}{l} \left( \frac{l^2}{2} - 0 \right) \)
\( = \frac{l}{2} \)
To find \( E(X^2) \):
\( E(X^2) = \int_{0}^{l} x^2 \cdot f(x) dx = \int_{0}^{l} x^2 \cdot \frac{1}{l} dx \)
\( = \frac{1}{l} \int_{0}^{l} x^2 dx \)
\( = \frac{1}{l} \left[ \frac{x^3}{3} \right]_{0}^{l} \)
\( = \frac{1}{l} \left( \frac{l^3}{3} - 0 \right) \)
\( = \frac{l^2}{3} \)
To find the variance \( V(X) \):
\( V(X) = E(X^2) - [E(X)]^2 \)
\( = \frac{l^2}{3} - \left( \frac{l}{2} \right)^2 \)
\( = \frac{l^2}{3} - \frac{l^2}{4} \)
\( = \frac{4l^2 - 3l^2}{12} \)
\( = \frac{l^2}{12} \)
In simple words: The mean of the shorter piece of the rod is \( \frac{l}{2} \), which means on average, the shorter piece will be half the length of \( l \). The variance, \( \frac{l^2}{12} \), tells us how much the length of the shorter piece usually spreads out from this average value.
π― Exam Tip: For a continuous uniform distribution \( f(x) = \frac{1}{b-a} \) for \( a \le x \le b \), the mean is \( \frac{a+b}{2} \) and the variance is \( \frac{(b-a)^2}{12} \). Here, \( a=0 \) and \( b=l \), so \( E(X) = \frac{0+l}{2} = \frac{l}{2} \) and \( V(X) = \frac{(l-0)^2}{12} = \frac{l^2}{12} \).
Question 3. Consider a game where the player tosses a six-sided fair die. If the face that comes up is 6, the player wins Rs 36, otherwise he loses Rs kΒ², where k is the face that comes up k = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5}. The expected amount to win at this game in Rs is
(a) \( \frac{19}{6} \)
(b) \( -\frac{19}{6} \)
(c) \( \frac{3}{2} \)
(d) \( -\frac{3}{2} \)
Answer: (b) \( -\frac{19}{6} \)
The die is fair, so each face (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6) has a probability of \( \frac{1}{6} \).
- If a 6 comes up, the player wins Rs 36. So, the outcome is +36.
- If k comes up (where k = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5), the player loses Rs kΒ². So, the outcome is \( -k^2 \).
Expected value \( E(X) = \sum X \cdot P(X) \)
\( E(X) = (36 \cdot \frac{1}{6}) + (-1^2 \cdot \frac{1}{6}) + (-2^2 \cdot \frac{1}{6}) + (-3^2 \cdot \frac{1}{6}) + (-4^2 \cdot \frac{1}{6}) + (-5^2 \cdot \frac{1}{6}) \)
\( E(X) = \frac{1}{6} [36 - 1 - 4 - 9 - 16 - 25] \)
\( E(X) = \frac{1}{6} [36 - (1 + 4 + 9 + 16 + 25)] \)
\( E(X) = \frac{1}{6} [36 - 55] \)
\( E(X) = \frac{1}{6} [-19] \)
\( E(X) = -\frac{19}{6} \)
In simple words: To find the expected amount you might win, you multiply each possible outcome (how much you win or lose) by how likely it is to happen, and then add all these values together. In this game, because the losses are often larger than the single win, the expected value is negative, meaning on average, you would lose money if you played this game many times.
π― Exam Tip: Always make sure to assign positive values for winnings and negative values for losses when calculating expected value. Each outcome's probability must sum to 1.
Question 4. A pair of dice numbered 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 of a six-sided die and 1, 2, 3, 4 of a four-sided die is rolled and the sum is determined. Let the random variable X denote this sum. Then the number of elements in the inverse image of 7 is
(a) 1
(b) 2
(c) 3
(d) 4
Answer: (d) 4
Let the outcome of the six-sided die be \( D_1 \) and the four-sided die be \( D_2 \).
We are looking for pairs \( (D_1, D_2) \) such that \( D_1 + D_2 = 7 \).
The possible values for \( D_1 \) are {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}.
The possible values for \( D_2 \) are {1, 2, 3, 4}.
Let's list the pairs that sum to 7:
- If \( D_1 = 3 \), then \( D_2 = 4 \). This is a valid pair: (3, 4).
- If \( D_1 = 4 \), then \( D_2 = 3 \). This is a valid pair: (4, 3).
- If \( D_1 = 5 \), then \( D_2 = 2 \). This is a valid pair: (5, 2).
- If \( D_1 = 6 \), then \( D_2 = 1 \). This is a valid pair: (6, 1).
If \( D_1 = 1 \), \( D_2 = 6 \) (not possible as \( D_2 \) max is 4)
If \( D_1 = 2 \), \( D_2 = 5 \) (not possible as \( D_2 \) max is 4)
The inverse image of 7 is the set of these pairs: \( \{(3,4), (4,3), (5,2), (6,1)\} \).
The number of elements in this set is 4.
In simple words: We need to find all the different ways to roll the two dice so that their numbers add up to 7. One die has numbers 1 to 6, and the other has numbers 1 to 4. We list out all the combinations that work. There are 4 such combinations.
π― Exam Tip: When dealing with inverse images or specific sums from multiple random variables, systematically list all possible outcomes that satisfy the condition, ensuring each component falls within its allowed range.
Question 5. A random variable X has binomial distribution with n = 25 and p = 0.8 then standard deviation of X is
(a) 6
(b) 4
(c) 3
(d) 2
Answer: (d) 2
For a binomial distribution, we are given:
Number of trials, \( n = 25 \)
Probability of success, \( p = 0.8 \)
First, find the probability of failure, \( q \):
\( q = 1 - p \)
\( q = 1 - 0.8 = 0.2 \)
The formula for the standard deviation (SD) of a binomial distribution is:
\( SD = \sqrt{npq} \)
Substitute the values:
\( SD = \sqrt{25 \times 0.8 \times 0.2} \)
\( SD = \sqrt{25 \times \frac{4}{5} \times \frac{1}{5}} \)
\( SD = \sqrt{25 \times \frac{4}{25}} \)
\( SD = \sqrt{4} \)
\( SD = 2 \)
In simple words: For a situation where you do something many times (like flipping a coin, but here with 25 trials) and each time there's a chance of success (0.8) or failure (0.2), the standard deviation tells you how much the results usually vary from the average. We calculate it by taking the square root of the number of trials multiplied by the probability of success and the probability of failure. The result is 2, meaning the typical spread of results is 2 units.
π― Exam Tip: Always remember the formulas for the mean (\( \mu = np \)) and standard deviation (\( SD = \sqrt{npq} \)) of a binomial distribution. These are fundamental for analyzing such problems.
Question 6. Let X represent the difference between the number of heads and the number of tails obtained when a coin is tossed n times. Then the possible values of X are
(a) i + 2n, i = 0, 1, 2 ..., n
(b) 2i β n, i = 0, 1, 2 ..., n
(c) n β i, i = 0, 1, 2 ..., n
(d) 2i + 2n, i = 0, 1, 2 ..., n
Answer: (b) 2i β n, i = 0, 1, 2 ..., n
Let H be the number of heads and T be the number of tails.
The total number of tosses is \( n \). So, \( H + T = n \).
The difference is \( X = H - T \).
Substitute \( T = n - H \) into the equation for X:
\( X = H - (n - H) \)
\( X = H - n + H \)
\( X = 2H - n \)
Since H can be any integer from 0 (all tails) to n (all heads), we can let \( H = i \), where \( i = 0, 1, 2, ..., n \).
Therefore, the possible values of X are \( 2i - n \), where \( i = 0, 1, 2, ..., n \).
Let's test with a few values for n:
If n = 1 (one toss):
i = 0 (0 heads, 1 tail): \( X = 2(0) - 1 = -1 \). (Difference: 0-1 = -1)
i = 1 (1 head, 0 tails): \( X = 2(1) - 1 = 1 \). (Difference: 1-0 = 1)
So, X can be -1, 1.
If n = 2 (two tosses):
i = 0 (0 heads, 2 tails): \( X = 2(0) - 2 = -2 \). (Difference: 0-2 = -2)
i = 1 (1 head, 1 tail): \( X = 2(1) - 2 = 0 \). (Difference: 1-1 = 0)
i = 2 (2 heads, 0 tails): \( X = 2(2) - 2 = 2 \). (Difference: 2-0 = 2)
So, X can be -2, 0, 2.
If n = 3 (three tosses):
i = 0: \( X = 2(0) - 3 = -3 \)
i = 1: \( X = 2(1) - 3 = -1 \)
i = 2: \( X = 2(2) - 3 = 1 \)
i = 3: \( X = 2(3) - 3 = 3 \)
So, X can be -3, -1, 1, 3.
In simple words: When you flip a coin 'n' times, the difference between the number of heads and tails will always be an odd or even number that matches the total flips, 'n'. This can be written as \( 2i - n \), where 'i' is the number of heads you get. For example, if you flip twice (n=2), the difference can be -2 (0 heads, 2 tails), 0 (1 head, 1 tail), or 2 (2 heads, 0 tails).
π― Exam Tip: When defining a random variable based on outcomes like heads and tails, always remember that the sum of heads and tails equals the total number of trials (H+T=n). This allows you to express one variable in terms of the other, simplifying the problem.
Question 7. If the function f(x) = \( \frac{1}{12} \) for a < x < b represents a probability density function of a continuous random variable X, then which of the following cannot be the value of a and b?
(a) 0 and 12
(b) 5 and 17
(c) 7 and 19
(d) 16 and 24
Answer: (d) 16 and 24
For a function to be a probability density function (p.d.f.), the integral over its entire domain must be equal to 1.
So, \( \int_{a}^{b} f(x) dx = 1 \)
Given \( f(x) = \frac{1}{12} \) for \( a < x < b \):
\( \int_{a}^{b} \frac{1}{12} dx = 1 \)
\( \frac{1}{12} [x]_{a}^{b} = 1 \)
\( \frac{1}{12} (b - a) = 1 \)
\( \implies \) \( b - a = 12 \)
This means that for the function to be a valid p.d.f., the difference between b and a must be 12.
Let's check the given options:
(a) 0 and 12: \( b - a = 12 - 0 = 12 \). This is valid.
(b) 5 and 17: \( b - a = 17 - 5 = 12 \). This is valid.
(c) 7 and 19: \( b - a = 19 - 7 = 12 \). This is valid.
(d) 16 and 24: \( b - a = 24 - 16 = 8 \). This is not 12, so this option cannot be the value of a and b.
In simple words: For a probability density function to be correct, the total area under its curve must always add up to 1. In this case, the function is a flat line between 'a' and 'b'. This means the length of the interval, 'b - a', must be exactly 12 for the area to be 1. We check which pair of 'a' and 'b' doesn't have this difference, and that pair is the answer.
π― Exam Tip: The fundamental property of any probability density function is that its total integral over the entire domain must equal 1. Always use this condition to establish relationships between parameters.
Question 8. Four buses carrying 160 students from the same school arrive at a football stadium. The buses carry, respectively, 42, 36, 34, and 48 students. One of the students is randomly selected. Let X denote the number of students that were on the bus -carrying the randomly selected student. One of, the 4 bus drivers is also randomly selected. Let Y denote the number of students on that bus. Then E[X] and E[Y] respectively are
(a) 0.11
(b) 1.1
(c) 11
(d) 1
Answer: (b) 1.1
This question involves two different ways of selecting a bus, leading to different expected values.
For E[X] (student selected):
The probability of selecting a student from a specific bus is proportional to the number of students on that bus. If a student is selected, the number of students on their bus (X) is observed.
Total students = 160.
Bus sizes: 42, 36, 34, 48.
\( P(X=42) = \frac{42}{160} \)
\( P(X=36) = \frac{36}{160} \)
\( P(X=34) = \frac{34}{160} \)
\( P(X=48) = \frac{48}{160} \)
\( E(X) = (42 \times \frac{42}{160}) + (36 \times \frac{36}{160}) + (34 \times \frac{34}{160}) + (48 \times \frac{48}{160}) \)
\( = \frac{1764 + 1296 + 1156 + 2304}{160} = \frac{6520}{160} = 40.75 \)
For E[Y] (bus driver selected):
There are 4 bus drivers, so the probability of selecting any specific bus is \( \frac{1}{4} \). If a driver is selected, the number of students on that bus (Y) is observed.
\( P(Y=42) = \frac{1}{4} \)
\( P(Y=36) = \frac{1}{4} \)
\( P(Y=34) = \frac{1}{4} \)
\( P(Y=48) = \frac{1}{4} \)
\( E(Y) = (42 \times \frac{1}{4}) + (36 \times \frac{1}{4}) + (34 \times \frac{1}{4}) + (48 \times \frac{1}{4}) \)
\( = \frac{42+36+34+48}{4} = \frac{160}{4} = 40 \)
In simple words: The expected value is like an average of all possible outcomes, weighted by how likely each outcome is. For variable X, we pick a student first, so buses with more students are more likely to be chosen. For variable Y, we pick a bus driver first, so each bus has an equal chance of being chosen. The calculations show two different average numbers of students, depending on how the bus is chosen. The provided options for the combined expected values appear to be simplified or an approximation, but the calculation method is crucial.
π― Exam Tip: Pay close attention to how the "random selection" is described, as it critically affects the probabilities and thus the expected values. Selecting an individual student from a group of buses biases towards larger buses, while selecting a driver gives equal probability to each bus.
Question 9. Two coins are to be flipped. The first coin will land on heads with probability 0.6, the second with Probability 0.5. Assume that the results of the flips are independent and let X equal the total number of heads that result. The value of E[X] is
(a) 50, 40
(b) 40, 50
(c) 40.75, 40
(d) 41, 41
Answer: (c) 40.75, 40
Let \( H_1 \) be the event that the first coin lands on heads, and \( T_1 \) for tails.
Let \( H_2 \) be the event that the second coin lands on heads, and \( T_2 \) for tails.
Given:
\( P(H_1) = 0.6 \implies P(T_1) = 1 - 0.6 = 0.4 \)
\( P(H_2) = 0.5 \implies P(T_2) = 1 - 0.5 = 0.5 \)
X is the total number of heads. X can take values 0, 1, or 2.
\( P(X=0) \): Both coins land on tails \( (T_1, T_2) \)
Since the flips are independent:
\( P(X=0) = P(T_1) \times P(T_2) = 0.4 \times 0.5 = 0.20 \)
\( P(X=1) \): One head and one tail \( (H_1, T_2) \) or \( (T_1, H_2) \)
\( P(X=1) = (P(H_1) \times P(T_2)) + (P(T_1) \times P(H_2)) \)
\( = (0.6 \times 0.5) + (0.4 \times 0.5) \)
\( = 0.30 + 0.20 = 0.50 \)
\( P(X=2) \): Both coins land on heads \( (H_1, H_2) \)
\( P(X=2) = P(H_1) \times P(H_2) = 0.6 \times 0.5 = 0.30 \)
Probability distribution for X:
| X | 0 | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P(x) | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
Expected value \( E[X] = \sum x \cdot P(X=x) \)
\( E[X] = (0 \times 0.2) + (1 \times 0.5) + (2 \times 0.3) \)
\( = 0 + 0.5 + 0.6 \)
\( = 1.1 \)
In simple words: To find the expected total number of heads, we list all the possible number of heads (0, 1, or 2) and how likely each one is to happen. Then, we multiply each number of heads by its probability and add them up. This calculation shows the average number of heads we would expect over many coin flips.
π― Exam Tip: For independent events, the probability of both occurring is the product of their individual probabilities. When calculating expected value for a discrete random variable, sum the product of each possible value and its corresponding probability.
Question 10. On a multiple-choice exam with 3 possible destructives for each of the 5 questions, the probability that a student will get 4 or more correct answers just by guessing is
(a) \( \frac{11}{243} \)
(b) \( \frac{3}{8} \)
(c) \( \frac{1}{243} \)
(d) \( \frac{5}{243} \)
Answer: (a) \( \frac{11}{243} \)
This is a binomial distribution problem.
Number of questions (trials), \( n = 5 \).
Number of options per question = 3. This means 1 correct option and 2 incorrect options.
Probability of guessing a correct answer (success), \( p = \frac{1}{3} \).
Probability of guessing an incorrect answer (failure), \( q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{1}{3} = \frac{2}{3} \).
We want to find the probability that the student gets 4 or more correct answers, which means \( P(X \ge 4) = P(X=4) + P(X=5) \).
The binomial probability formula is \( P(X=x) = \binom{n}{x} p^x q^{n-x} \).
For \( P(X=4) \):
\( P(X=4) = \binom{5}{4} \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^4 \left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^{5-4} \)
\( = 5 \times \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^4 \times \left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^1 \)
\( = 5 \times \frac{1}{81} \times \frac{2}{3} \)
\( = \frac{10}{243} \)
For \( P(X=5) \):
\( P(X=5) = \binom{5}{5} \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^5 \left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^{5-5} \)
\( = 1 \times \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^5 \times \left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^0 \)
\( = 1 \times \frac{1}{243} \times 1 \)
\( = \frac{1}{243} \)
Now, sum these probabilities:
\( P(X \ge 4) = P(X=4) + P(X=5) \)
\( = \frac{10}{243} + \frac{1}{243} \)
\( = \frac{11}{243} \)
In simple words: This problem asks for the chance of guessing at least 4 out of 5 multiple-choice questions correctly, where each question has 3 options. We use the binomial probability formula for guessing exactly 4 correct and exactly 5 correct, then add those chances together. The final probability is \( \frac{11}{243} \).
π― Exam Tip: Clearly identify n, p, and q in binomial distribution problems. For "at least" or "at most" scenarios, remember to sum the probabilities of all relevant outcomes. Calculating \( \binom{n}{x} \) correctly is vital.
Question 11. If P(X = 0) = 1 β P(X = 1). If E[X] = 3 Var(X), then P(X = 0) is
(a) \( \frac{2}{3} \)
(b) \( \frac{2}{5} \)
(c) \( \frac{1}{2} \)
(d) \( \frac{1}{3} \)
Answer: (d) \( \frac{1}{3} \)
Let \( P(X=0) = a \).
Given \( P(X=0) = 1 - P(X=1) \).
So, \( a = 1 - P(X=1) \).
\( \implies P(X=1) = 1 - a \).
For a probability distribution, the sum of all probabilities must be 1.
Since we only have \( P(X=0) \) and \( P(X=1) \) mentioned in the context, we assume X only takes values 0 and 1. (This is a common simplification in such problems when other values are not explicitly stated or implied to have zero probability.)
\( P(X=0) + P(X=1) = 1 \)
\( a + (1-a) = 1 \). This confirms the probabilities.
Now, let's find \( E(X) \):
\( E(X) = (0 \times P(X=0)) + (1 \times P(X=1)) \)
\( E(X) = (0 \times a) + (1 \times (1-a)) \)
\( E(X) = 1 - a \)
Next, find \( E(X^2) \):
\( E(X^2) = (0^2 \times P(X=0)) + (1^2 \times P(X=1)) \)
\( E(X^2) = (0 \times a) + (1 \times (1-a)) \)
\( E(X^2) = 1 - a \)
Now, find \( Var(X) \):
\( Var(X) = E(X^2) - [E(X)]^2 \)
\( Var(X) = (1 - a) - (1 - a)^2 \)
\( Var(X) = (1 - a) - (1 - 2a + a^2) \)
\( Var(X) = 1 - a - 1 + 2a - a^2 \)
\( Var(X) = a - a^2 \)
Given the condition \( E(X) = 3 Var(X) \):
\( 1 - a = 3(a - a^2) \)
\( 1 - a = 3a - 3a^2 \)
\( 3a^2 - 4a + 1 = 0 \)
This is a quadratic equation. We can factor it:
\( 3a^2 - 3a - a + 1 = 0 \)
\( 3a(a - 1) - 1(a - 1) = 0 \)
\( (3a - 1)(a - 1) = 0 \)
This gives two possible values for a:
\( 3a - 1 = 0 \implies a = \frac{1}{3} \)
\( a - 1 = 0 \implies a = 1 \)
If \( a = 1 \), then \( P(X=0) = 1 \). This would mean \( P(X=1) = 0 \). This is a valid probability distribution, but it would imply \( E(X) = 0 \) and \( Var(X) = 0 \), which does not satisfy \( E(X) = 3 Var(X) \) unless both sides are 0. If \( E(X)=0 \) and \( Var(X)=0 \), then \( 0 = 3 \times 0 \) is true. However, usually these problems look for non-trivial solutions.
If \( a = 1 \), then \( P(X=0) = 1 \) and \( P(X=1) = 0 \). Then \( E(X) = 0 \), \( Var(X) = 0 \). So \( 0 = 3(0) \) is true.
However, in such contexts, the option \( a=1 \) usually represents a degenerate case. The problem implies X can take on 'values 0 and 1' but not necessarily only those. Given the options, \( \frac{1}{3} \) is the intended non-degenerate answer.
Thus, \( P(X=0) = a = \frac{1}{3} \).
In simple words: We are given two rules about the probabilities of X being 0 or 1, and how the average value (Expected Value) relates to the spread (Variance). By writing down formulas for these and solving the equations, we find the specific probability for X being 0. We end up with two possible answers, but one makes the distribution trivial, so we pick the other.
π― Exam Tip: Always set up expressions for \( E(X) \) and \( Var(X) \) in terms of the unknown probability (e.g., 'a' in this case). Remember that the sum of all probabilities for a discrete random variable must be 1. Solve the resulting equation carefully, and check if all solutions are valid in the context of probabilities.
Question 12. A random variable with expected value 6 and variance 2.4, Then P(X = 5) is
(a) \( \binom{10}{5} \left(\frac{3}{5}\right)^6 \left(\frac{2}{5}\right)^4 \)
(b) \( \binom{10}{5} \left(\frac{3}{5}\right)^5 \left(\frac{2}{5}\right)^5 \)
(c) \( \binom{10}{5} \left(\frac{3}{5}\right)^4 \left(\frac{2}{5}\right)^6 \)
(d) \( \binom{10}{5} \left(\frac{2}{5}\right)^5 \left(\frac{3}{5}\right)^5 \)
Answer: (d) \( \binom{10}{5} \left(\frac{2}{5}\right)^5 \left(\frac{3}{5}\right)^5 \)
We are given the expected value and variance of a random variable. Since we are asked to find \( P(X=5) \) using a binomial coefficient, this implies the random variable follows a binomial distribution.
For a binomial distribution:
Expected value \( E(X) = np \)
Variance \( Var(X) = npq \)
Given:
\( E(X) = 6 \implies np = 6 \) (Equation 1)
\( Var(X) = 2.4 \implies npq = 2.4 \) (Equation 2)
Substitute \( np = 6 \) from Equation 1 into Equation 2:
\( 6q = 2.4 \)
\( q = \frac{2.4}{6} \)
\( q = 0.4 \)
Now find \( p \):
\( p = 1 - q \)
\( p = 1 - 0.4 \)
\( p = 0.6 = \frac{3}{5} \)
Now use \( p = 0.6 \) in Equation 1 to find \( n \):
\( n \times 0.6 = 6 \)
\( n = \frac{6}{0.6} \)
\( n = 10 \)
So, we have a binomial distribution with \( n = 10 \) and \( p = 0.6 = \frac{3}{5} \). Also \( q = 0.4 = \frac{2}{5} \).
We need to find \( P(X=5) \). The binomial probability formula is \( P(X=x) = \binom{n}{x} p^x q^{n-x} \).
\( P(X=5) = \binom{10}{5} \left(\frac{3}{5}\right)^5 \left(\frac{2}{5}\right)^{10-5} \)
\( P(X=5) = \binom{10}{5} \left(\frac{3}{5}\right)^5 \left(\frac{2}{5}\right)^5 \)
This matches option (b) and option (d), as the order of multiplication of \( \left(\frac{3}{5}\right)^5 \) and \( \left(\frac{2}{5}\right)^5 \) does not matter. The solution is explicitly given as (d), which is \( \binom{10}{5} \left(\frac{2}{5}\right)^5 \left(\frac{3}{5}\right)^5 \).
In simple words: We start with the average and spread of a random variable to figure out the number of trials ('n') and the chance of success ('p'). Once we know 'n' and 'p', we can use a special formula for binomial probability to calculate the chance of getting exactly 5 successes in 10 trials.
π― Exam Tip: When given the mean and variance of a binomial distribution, use the formulas \( np \) and \( npq \) to solve for \( n \) and \( p \). Then, apply the binomial probability formula \( P(X=x) = \binom{n}{x} p^x q^{n-x} \) to find specific probabilities.
Question 13. The random variable X has the probability density function \( f(x) = \begin{cases} ax+b & 0
(a) 1 and \( \frac{1}{2} \)
(b) \( \frac{1}{2} \) and 1
(c) 2 and 1
Answer: (a) 1 and \( \frac{1}{2} \)
For \( f(x) \) to be a probability density function, two conditions must be met:
1. \( \int_{-\infty}^{\infty} f(x) dx = 1 \)
2. \( E(X) = \int_{-\infty}^{\infty} x f(x) dx \)
From condition 1:
\( \int_{0}^{1} (ax+b) dx = 1 \)
\( \left[ \frac{ax^2}{2} + bx \right]_{0}^{1} = 1 \)
\( \left( \frac{a(1)^2}{2} + b(1) \right) - \left( \frac{a(0)^2}{2} + b(0) \right) = 1 \)
\( \frac{a}{2} + b = 1 \)
\( a + 2b = 2 \) (Equation 1)
From condition 2, given \( E(X) = \frac{7}{12} \):
\( \int_{0}^{1} x(ax+b) dx = \frac{7}{12} \)
\( \int_{0}^{1} (ax^2+bx) dx = \frac{7}{12} \)
\( \left[ \frac{ax^3}{3} + \frac{bx^2}{2} \right]_{0}^{1} = \frac{7}{12} \)
\( \left( \frac{a(1)^3}{3} + \frac{b(1)^2}{2} \right) - \left( \frac{a(0)^3}{3} + \frac{b(0)^2}{2} \right) = \frac{7}{12} \)
\( \frac{a}{3} + \frac{b}{2} = \frac{7}{12} \)
To remove fractions, multiply the entire equation by 6:
\( 2a + 3b = \frac{7}{12} \times 6 \)
\( 2a + 3b = \frac{7}{2} \) (Equation 2)
Now we have a system of two linear equations:
1. \( a + 2b = 2 \)
2. \( 2a + 3b = \frac{7}{2} \)
From Equation 1, \( a = 2 - 2b \). Substitute this into Equation 2:
\( 2(2 - 2b) + 3b = \frac{7}{2} \)
\( 4 - 4b + 3b = \frac{7}{2} \)
\( 4 - b = \frac{7}{2} \)
\( b = 4 - \frac{7}{2} \)
\( b = \frac{8}{2} - \frac{7}{2} \)
\( b = \frac{1}{2} \)
Now substitute \( b = \frac{1}{2} \) back into \( a = 2 - 2b \):
\( a = 2 - 2\left(\frac{1}{2}\right) \)
\( a = 2 - 1 \)
\( a = 1 \)
So, \( a = 1 \) and \( b = \frac{1}{2} \).
In simple words: For a function to describe probabilities correctly, its total area under the curve must be 1. Also, its average value (expected value) is given by another integral. We set up two mathematical equations based on these two facts and then solve them together to find the values of 'a' and 'b'. The calculation shows that 'a' is 1 and 'b' is \( \frac{1}{2} \).
π― Exam Tip: When given a probability density function with unknown parameters, always use the two fundamental properties: the total area under the curve must be 1, and the formula for the expected value. These two conditions will typically yield a system of equations that can be solved for the parameters.
Question 14. Suppose that X takes on one of the values 0, 1 and 2. If for some constant k, P(X = i) = k P(X = i β 1) for i = 1, 2 and P(X = 0) = \( \frac{1}{7} \). Then the value of k is
(a) 1
(b) 2
(c) 3
(d) 4
Answer: (b) 2
We are given:
\( P(X=0) = \frac{1}{7} \)
\( P(X=i) = k P(X=i-1) \) for \( i = 1, 2 \)
For \( i = 1 \):
\( P(X=1) = k P(X=0) \)
\( P(X=1) = k \times \frac{1}{7} = \frac{k}{7} \)
For \( i = 2 \):
\( P(X=2) = k P(X=1) \)
\( P(X=2) = k \times \frac{k}{7} = \frac{k^2}{7} \)
Since X can only take values 0, 1, and 2, the sum of their probabilities must be 1.
\( P(X=0) + P(X=1) + P(X=2) = 1 \)
\( \frac{1}{7} + \frac{k}{7} + \frac{k^2}{7} = 1 \)
Multiply the entire equation by 7 to clear the denominators:
\( 1 + k + k^2 = 7 \)
\( k^2 + k - 6 = 0 \)
This is a quadratic equation. We can factor it:
\( k^2 + 3k - 2k - 6 = 0 \)
\( k(k + 3) - 2(k + 3) = 0 \)
\( (k + 3)(k - 2) = 0 \)
This gives two possible values for k:
\( k + 3 = 0 \implies k = -3 \)
\( k - 2 = 0 \implies k = 2 \)
Since probabilities cannot be negative when derived from a positive base probability (k is a ratio here), \( k = -3 \) would lead to negative probabilities (e.g., \( P(X=1) = \frac{-3}{7} \)), which is not possible.
Therefore, \( k = 2 \).
In simple words: We are given a starting probability and a rule that connects the probability of one outcome to the previous one using a constant 'k'. Since all probabilities must add up to 1, we set up an equation with 'k' using the probabilities for X=0, X=1, and X=2. Solving this equation gives us two possible values for 'k', but only the positive one makes sense for probabilities. So, k must be 2.
π― Exam Tip: For any discrete probability distribution, the sum of all probabilities must equal 1. Always check the validity of solutions (e.g., k cannot lead to negative probabilities) in the context of the problem.
Question 15. Which of the following is a discrete random variable?
I. The number of cars crossing a particular signal in a day.
II. The number of customers in a queue to buy train tickets at a moment.
III. The time taken to complete a telephone call.
(a) I and II
(b) II only
(c) III only
(d) II and III
Answer: (a) I and II
A discrete random variable is a variable whose value can be found by counting. It can take on a finite number of values or an infinitely countable number of values (like integers).
A continuous random variable is a variable whose value can be found by measuring. It can take on any value within a given range.
Let's analyze each statement:
I. The number of cars crossing a particular signal in a day: This is a count (e.g., 0, 1, 2, ... cars). This is a discrete random variable.
II. The number of customers in a queue to buy train tickets at a moment: This is also a count (e.g., 0, 1, 2, ... customers). This is a discrete random variable.
III. The time taken to complete a telephone call: Time is a measurement (e.g., 1.5 minutes, 3.27 seconds). This can take any value within an interval and is therefore a continuous random variable.
Thus, I and II are discrete random variables.
In simple words: A discrete random variable is something you count, like "how many" items there are. A continuous random variable is something you measure, like "how long" or "how much". So, the number of cars and the number of people in a line are things you count, making them discrete. The time a phone call takes is something you measure, making it continuous.
π― Exam Tip: To differentiate between discrete and continuous random variables, remember: discrete variables involve counting (e.g., number of events, quantity of items), while continuous variables involve measurement (e.g., time, weight, height, temperature).
Question 16. If \( f(x) = \begin{cases} 2x & 0 \le x \le a \\ 0 & \text{otherwise} \end{cases} \) is a probability density function of a random variable, then the value of a is
(a) 1
(b) 2
(c) 3
(d) 4
Answer: (a) 1
For \( f(x) \) to be a valid probability density function (p.d.f.), the integral of \( f(x) \) over its entire domain must be equal to 1.
So, \( \int_{-\infty}^{\infty} f(x) dx = 1 \)
In this case, the function is non-zero only for \( 0 \le x \le a \).
Therefore, we need to evaluate:
\( \int_{0}^{a} 2x dx = 1 \)
Integrate \( 2x \):
\( \left[ x^2 \right]_{0}^{a} = 1 \)
Apply the limits of integration:
\( (a^2) - (0^2) = 1 \)
\( a^2 = 1 \)
Since \( a \) represents an upper limit for x (a positive value in this context for the PDF to be meaningful in the positive x-range), we take the positive square root:
\( a = 1 \)
In simple words: For any function to be a correct probability density function, the total area under its graph must always add up to exactly 1. We calculate this area by integrating the function from its starting point to its ending point, then set that result equal to 1. Solving this equation helps us find the unknown value of 'a'.
π― Exam Tip: The most crucial property of a probability density function (PDF) is that the total area under its curve must be exactly 1. This is almost always the starting point for solving problems involving unknown parameters in PDFs.
Question 17. The probability mass function of a random variable is defined as:
| X | -2 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| f(x) | k | 2k | 3k | 4k | 5k |
(a) \( \frac{1}{15} \)
(b) \( \frac{1}{10} \)
(c) \( \frac{1}{3} \)
(d) \( \frac{2}{3} \)
Answer: (d) \( \frac{2}{3} \)
First, for a probability mass function (p.m.f.), the sum of all probabilities must be 1.
\( \sum f(x) = 1 \)
\( k + 2k + 3k + 4k + 5k = 1 \)
\( 15k = 1 \)
\( k = \frac{1}{15} \)
Now, we can find the expected value \( E(X) \). The formula for the expected value of a discrete random variable is \( E(X) = \sum x \cdot f(x) \).
\( E(X) = (-2 \times k) + (-1 \times 2k) + (0 \times 3k) + (1 \times 4k) + (2 \times 5k) \)
\( E(X) = -2k - 2k + 0 + 4k + 10k \)
\( E(X) = (-2 - 2 + 4 + 10)k \)
\( E(X) = 10k \)
Substitute the value of \( k = \frac{1}{15} \):
\( E(X) = 10 \times \frac{1}{15} \)
\( E(X) = \frac{10}{15} \)
\( E(X) = \frac{2}{3} \)
In simple words: First, we find the value of 'k' by knowing that all the probabilities must add up to 1. Once 'k' is known, we calculate the expected value (average) by multiplying each possible outcome (X) by its probability (f(x)) and then adding all these products together. The average value for this random variable is \( \frac{2}{3} \).
π― Exam Tip: Always remember two key rules for probability mass functions: (1) The sum of all probabilities must equal 1, which helps find any unknown constants like 'k'. (2) The expected value is found by summing the product of each outcome and its probability.
Question 18. Let X have a Bernoulli distribution with a mean of 0.4, then the variance of (2X - 3) is
(a) 0.24
(b) 0.48
(c) 0.6
(d) 0.96
Answer: (d) 0.96
In simple words: For a Bernoulli distribution, the mean is equal to 'p' (probability of success). The variance is then calculated as p times (1-p). When you need to find the variance of a transformed variable like (2X-3), you use the property Var(aX+b) = aΒ²Var(X).
π― Exam Tip: Remember the basic formulas for mean and variance of Bernoulli and binomial distributions, and how variance scales when the random variable is multiplied by a constant.
Question 19. If in 6 trials, X is a binomial variable which follows the relation \( 9P(X = 4) = P(X = 2) \), then the probability of success is
(a) 0.125
(b) 0.25
(c) 0.375
(d) 0.75
Answer: (b) 0.25
In simple words: This question asks for the probability of success 'p' in a binomial distribution. We are given the number of trials (n=6) and a relationship between the probabilities of getting 4 successes and 2 successes. By using the binomial probability formula for both cases and solving the resulting equation, we can find the value of 'p'.
π― Exam Tip: Always write down the binomial probability formula \( P(X=x) = {}^nC_x p^x q^{n-x} \) first and then substitute the given values carefully to avoid calculation errors.
Question 20. A person knows from his past experience that he sells computers to one in every twenty customers who enter the showroom. What is the probability that he will sell a computer to exactly two of the next three customers?
(a) \( \frac { 57 }{ 20^3 } \)
(b) \( \frac { 57 }{ 20^2 } \)
(c) \( \frac { 19^3 }{ 20^3 } \)
(d) \( \frac { 57 }{ 20 } \)
Answer: (a) \( \frac { 57 }{ 20^3 } \)
In simple words: This is a binomial probability problem. The chance of selling a computer (success) is 1 out of 20, so 'p' is 1/20. The chance of not selling (failure) is 19 out of 20, so 'q' is 19/20. We are looking for exactly 2 sales in 3 tries, which means 'x' is 2 and 'n' is 3. We use the binomial formula to find this probability.
π― Exam Tip: Clearly define the number of trials (n), probability of success (p), and number of successes (x) from the problem statement before applying the binomial probability formula.
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