OP Malhotra Class 12 Maths Solutions Chapter 20 Theoretical Probability Distribution Exercise 20 (A)

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Detailed Chapter 20 Theoretical Probability Distribution ISC Solutions for Class 12 Mathematics

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Class 12 Mathematics Chapter 20 Theoretical Probability Distribution ISC Solutions PDF

S Chand Class 12 ICSE Maths Solutions Chapter 20 Theoretical Probability Distribution Ex 20(a)

 

Question 1. Which of the following experiments give a discrete random variable. (You are not asked to find any probabilities).
(i) A book is chosen at random from a shelf with 50 books and its author noted.
(ii) A book is chosen at random from a shelf with 50 books and the number of pages noted.
(iii) A pupil is chosen at random from a particular class and the pupil's name, is noted.
(iv) A pupil is chosen at random from a particular class and the pupil's height is recorded to the nearest cm.
(v) The number of cars passing a given point on the road between 10:00 and 11:00 hours on a particular day.
Answer:
(i) The variable here is the author's name, which is not a numerical value that can be counted. Therefore, it is not a discrete random variable.
(ii) The variable here is the number of pages, which gives numerical values that can be counted. So, it is a discrete random variable.
(iii) The variable here is the pupil's name, which is not a numerical value that can be counted. Hence, it is not a discrete random variable.
(iv) The variable here is the pupil's height recorded to the nearest cm. This gives numerical values that can be counted in whole units. Thus, it is a discrete random variable.
(v) The variable here is the number of cars, which gives numerical values that can be counted. So, it is a discrete random variable.
In simple words: A discrete random variable is something you can count, like whole numbers. If you are counting things or categories, it's discrete. If it's something you measure and can have any value in between, like height (even to the nearest cm), it's still treated as discrete if the measurement is specific.

๐ŸŽฏ Exam Tip: To identify a discrete random variable, check if its possible values can be counted (usually whole numbers) or if it represents categories. Continuous random variables take any value within a range.

 

Question 2. (i) Determine which of the following can be probability distribution of a random variable X:
(a)

X012
P(X)0.40.40.2

(b)
X012
P(X)0.50.20.2

(ii) Find the value of k: if a random variable X has the following probability distribution:
X-2-10123
P(X)0.1k0.22k0.3k

Answer:
(i)
(a) The sum of all probabilities is \( 0.4 + 0.4 + 0.2 = 1.0 \). Since the total probability is 1, this is a valid probability distribution.
(b) The sum of all probabilities is \( 0.5 + 0.2 + 0.2 = 0.9 \). Since the total probability is not 1 (it is less than 1), this is not a valid probability distribution.
(ii) For a probability distribution, the sum of all probabilities must be 1. So, we add all the given probabilities and set the sum equal to 1.
\( P(X = -2) + P(X = -1) + P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) = 1 \)
\( \implies 0.1 + k + 0.2 + 2k + 0.3 + k = 1 \)
\( \implies 4k + 0.6 = 1 \)
\( \implies 4k = 1 - 0.6 \)
\( \implies 4k = 0.4 \)
\( \implies k = \frac{0.4}{4} \)
\( \implies k = 0.1 \)
In simple words: The sum of probabilities for all possible outcomes in any probability distribution will always add up to exactly one. We use this rule to check if a given set of probabilities forms a valid distribution or to find any missing values.

๐ŸŽฏ Exam Tip: Remember two key rules for a probability distribution: each probability must be between 0 and 1, and the sum of all probabilities must be exactly 1.

 

Question 3. Two cards are drawn in succession from a well shuffled deck of 52 cards, the first card being replaced, before the second is drawn. Let X denote the number of spades drawn. Find the probability distribution of X.
Answer:
Here, \(X\) represents the number of spade cards drawn. Since two cards are drawn, \(X\) can be 0 (no spades), 1 (one spade), or 2 (two spades).
First, we find the probability of drawing a spade. There are 13 spades in a deck of 52 cards.
Probability of getting a spade (\(p\)) \( = \frac{13}{52} = \frac{1}{4} \)
The probability of not getting a spade (\(q\)) is \( 1 - p = 1 - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{3}{4} \)
Since the first card is replaced, the draws are independent.
Probability of \(X = 0\) (no spades): This means drawing a non-spade, then another non-spade.
\( P(X = 0) = q \times q = \frac{3}{4} \times \frac{3}{4} = \frac{9}{16} \)
Probability of \(X = 1\) (one spade): This means drawing a spade then a non-spade, or a non-spade then a spade.
\( P(X = 1) = pq + qp = \left( \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{3}{4} \right) + \left( \frac{3}{4} \times \frac{1}{4} \right) = \frac{3}{16} + \frac{3}{16} = \frac{6}{16} \)
Probability of \(X = 2\) (two spades): This means drawing a spade, then another spade.
\( P(X = 2) = p \times p = \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{1}{4} = \frac{1}{16} \)
The probability distribution of \(X\) is shown in the table below.

X012
P(X)\( \frac{9}{16} \)\( \frac{6}{16} \)\( \frac{1}{16} \)

In simple words: This problem is an example of a binomial distribution because each draw is an independent Bernoulli trial (either spade or not spade) with a fixed probability of success, and the number of trials is fixed.

๐ŸŽฏ Exam Tip: When cards are drawn with replacement, the probability of drawing a specific card remains the same for each draw, making the events independent.

 

Question 4. Shew graphically the probability function of the discrete random variable X, where X is the number of heads appearing when an unbiased coin is tossed twice in succession.
Answer:
Here, \(X\) is the number of heads we get when an unbiased coin is tossed two times in a row.
The possible results when tossing a coin twice are: {Head-Head, Head-Tail, Tail-Head, Tail-Tail}.
From these results, the possible values for \(X\) (number of heads) are 0, 1, or 2.
Probability of \(X = 0\) (zero heads, which is Tail-Tail): \( P(X = 0) = P(TT) = \frac{1}{4} \)
Probability of \(X = 1\) (one head, which is Head-Tail or Tail-Head): \( P(X = 1) = P(HT \text{ or } TH) = \frac{2}{4} = \frac{1}{2} \)
Probability of \(X = 2\) (two heads, which is Head-Head): \( P(X = 2) = P(HH) = \frac{1}{4} \)
The probability function for \(X\) is shown in the graph below. Each coin toss is an independent event, and since the coin is unbiased, the probability of getting a head or a tail is equal (1/2).
0 1/4 1/2 0 1 2 P(X) X
In simple words: When a coin is tossed twice, we can get 0, 1, or 2 heads. We figure out how likely each number of heads is and then draw a picture showing these chances as bars.

๐ŸŽฏ Exam Tip: For small numbers of trials, listing the sample space can help accurately determine the probabilities for each value of the random variable. A bar chart is a common way to visualize discrete probability distributions.

 

Question 5. A box contains 3 red marbles and 5 green marbles. Two marbles are taken at random without replacement and X is the number of green marbles obtained. Find the probability distribution of X. Sketch the graphs.
Answer:
In the box, there are 3 red marbles and 5 green marbles, making a total of 8 marbles. We are picking two marbles without putting the first one back. \(X\) represents the number of green marbles we get. So, \(X\) can be 0, 1, or 2.
First, we find the total number of ways to choose 2 marbles from 8: \( { }^8 \mathrm{C}_2 = \frac{8 \times 7}{2 \times 1} = 28 \) ways.
Probability of \(X = 0\) (getting 0 green marbles, which means 2 red marbles):
This is choosing 2 red marbles from 3. Number of ways \( = { }^3 \mathrm{C}_2 = \frac{3 \times 2}{2 \times 1} = 3 \)
So, \( P(X = 0) = \frac{3}{28} \)
Probability of \(X = 1\) (getting 1 green marble and 1 red marble):
This is choosing 1 green from 5 AND 1 red from 3. Number of ways \( = { }^5 \mathrm{C}_1 \times { }^3 \mathrm{C}_1 = 5 \times 3 = 15 \)
So, \( P(X = 1) = \frac{15}{28} \)
Probability of \(X = 2\) (getting 2 green marbles):
This is choosing 2 green marbles from 5. Number of ways \( = { }^5 \mathrm{C}_2 = \frac{5 \times 4}{2 \times 1} = 10 \)
So, \( P(X = 2) = \frac{10}{28} \)
The probability distribution of \(X\) is shown in the table and graph below. This problem involves combinations without replacement, which is a key concept in hypergeometric probability distributions.

X012
P(X)\( \frac{3}{28} \)\( \frac{15}{28} \)\( \frac{10}{28} \)
0 3/28 10/28 15/28 0 1 2 P(X) X
In simple words: We find the total ways to pick 2 marbles from 8. Then, we find ways to pick 0, 1, or 2 green marbles from 5 green ones and 3 red ones. The probability for each is the number of ways divided by total ways.

๐ŸŽฏ Exam Tip: When calculating probabilities without replacement, remember that the total number of items and the number of items of a specific type decrease after each pick.

 

Question 6. A fair coin has, the number ' 1' on one face and the number ' 2 ' on the other. The coin is thrown with a fair die and X is the sum of the scores. Find the probability distribution of X.
Answer:
We have a special coin with faces marked '1' and '2'. We also have a regular six-sided die (marked '1' through '6'). We roll both, and \(X\) is the sum of the numbers we get.
The total number of possible outcomes is 2 (for the coin) multiplied by 6 (for the die), which is 12 outcomes. These outcomes are:
(Coin=1, Die=1), (1,2), (1,3), (1,4), (1,5), (1,6)
(Coin=2, Die=1), (2,2), (2,3), (2,4), (2,5), (2,6)
The possible sums (\(X\) values) are from \(1+1=2\) to \(2+6=8\). So, \(X\) can be 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8.
Probability of \(X = 2\): Only (1,1) gives sum 2. \( P(X=2) = \frac{1}{12} \)
Probability of \(X = 3\): (1,2) or (2,1) give sum 3. \( P(X=3) = \frac{2}{12} \)
Probability of \(X = 4\): (1,3) or (2,2) give sum 4. \( P(X=4) = \frac{2}{12} \)
Probability of \(X = 5\): (1,4) or (2,3) give sum 5. \( P(X=5) = \frac{2}{12} \)
Probability of \(X = 6\): (1,5) or (2,4) give sum 6. \( P(X=6) = \frac{2}{12} \)
Probability of \(X = 7\): (1,6) or (2,5) give sum 7. \( P(X=7) = \frac{2}{12} \)
Probability of \(X = 8\): Only (2,6) gives sum 8. \( P(X=8) = \frac{1}{12} \)
The probability distribution of \(X\) is shown in the table and graph below. This scenario demonstrates how to combine outcomes from independent events (coin toss and die roll) to find the probability of their sum.

X2345678
P(X)\( \frac{1}{12} \)\( \frac{2}{12} \)\( \frac{2}{12} \)\( \frac{2}{12} \)\( \frac{2}{12} \)\( \frac{2}{12} \)\( \frac{1}{12} \)
0 1/12 2/12 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 P(X) X
In simple words: We list all the possible sums when a special coin and a die are rolled. Then, we count how many times each sum can happen and divide by the total number of ways (12) to get the probability for each sum.

๐ŸŽฏ Exam Tip: When dealing with two independent events, it's helpful to list all possible outcomes in a table or as ordered pairs to ensure no combination is missed, especially for sums.

 

Question 7. An urn contains 4 white and 3 red balls. Find the probability distribution of the number of red balls in a random draw of three balls.
Answer:
An urn contains a total of 7 balls: 4 white and 3 red. We randomly pick three balls. Let \(X\) be the number of red balls drawn.
The possible number of red balls (\(X\)) can be 0, 1, 2, or 3.
First, calculate the total number of ways to choose 3 balls from 7: \( { }^7 \mathrm{C}_3 = \frac{7 \times 6 \times 5}{3 \times 2 \times 1} = 35 \) ways.
Probability of \(X = 0\) (drawing 0 red balls, meaning 3 white balls):
Number of ways to choose 3 white balls from 4: \( { }^4 \mathrm{C}_3 = \frac{4 \times 3 \times 2}{3 \times 2 \times 1} = 4 \)
So, \( P(X = 0) = \frac{4}{35} \)
Probability of \(X = 1\) (drawing 1 red ball and 2 white balls):
Number of ways to choose 1 red from 3 AND 2 white from 4: \( { }^3 \mathrm{C}_1 \times { }^4 \mathrm{C}_2 = 3 \times \frac{4 \times 3}{2 \times 1} = 3 \times 6 = 18 \)
So, \( P(X = 1) = \frac{18}{35} \)
Probability of \(X = 2\) (drawing 2 red balls and 1 white ball):
Number of ways to choose 2 red from 3 AND 1 white from 4: \( { }^3 \mathrm{C}_2 \times { }^4 \mathrm{C}_1 = \frac{3 \times 2}{2 \times 1} \times 4 = 3 \times 4 = 12 \)
So, \( P(X = 2) = \frac{12}{35} \)
Probability of \(X = 3\) (drawing 3 red balls):
Number of ways to choose 3 red balls from 3: \( { }^3 \mathrm{C}_3 = 1 \)
So, \( P(X = 3) = \frac{1}{35} \)
The probability distribution of \(X\) is given in the table and graph below. This problem is an example of a hypergeometric distribution because it involves sampling without replacement from a finite population divided into two categories.

X0123
P(X)\( \frac{4}{35} \)\( \frac{18}{35} \)\( \frac{12}{35} \)\( \frac{1}{35} \)
0 1/35 4/35 12/35 18/35 0 1 2 3 P(X) X
In simple words: We have a bag of red and white balls. We pull out 3 balls without putting them back. We want to know the chances of getting 0, 1, 2, or 3 red balls. We calculate this by using combinations.

๐ŸŽฏ Exam Tip: For problems involving combinations, always clearly define the total number of items and the number of items in each category before calculating the probabilities.

 

Question 8. Two cards are drawn successively without replacement from a well shuffled pack of 52 cards. Find the probability distribution of the number of aces.
Answer:
We draw two cards one after another from a 52-card deck without replacing the first card. \(X\) represents the number of aces we get.
There are 4 aces and \(52 - 4 = 48\) non-aces in the deck.
Since we draw two cards, \(X\) can be 0 (no aces), 1 (one ace), or 2 (two aces).
Probability of \(X = 0\) (getting no aces):
This means the first card is a non-ace, AND the second card is also a non-ace (from the remaining 51 cards).
\( P(X=0) = P(\text{1st non-ace}) \times P(\text{2nd non-ace } | \text{ 1st non-ace}) = \frac{48}{52} \times \frac{47}{51} = \frac{12}{13} \times \frac{47}{51} = \frac{188}{221} \)
Probability of \(X = 1\) (getting one ace):
This can happen in two ways: (Ace then Non-Ace) OR (Non-Ace then Ace).
\( P(\text{1st Ace, 2nd Non-Ace}) = \frac{4}{52} \times \frac{48}{51} \)
\( P(\text{1st Non-Ace, 2nd Ace}) = \frac{48}{52} \times \frac{4}{51} \)
\( P(X=1) = \left( \frac{4}{52} \times \frac{48}{51} \right) + \left( \frac{48}{52} \times \frac{4}{51} \right) = \frac{192}{2652} + \frac{192}{2652} = \frac{384}{2652} = \frac{32}{221} \)
Probability of \(X = 2\) (getting two aces):
This means the first card is an ace, AND the second card is also an ace (from the remaining 3 aces and 51 total cards).
\( P(X=2) = P(\text{1st Ace}) \times P(\text{2nd Ace } | \text{ 1st Ace}) = \frac{4}{52} \times \frac{3}{51} = \frac{12}{2652} = \frac{1}{221} \)
The probability distribution for \(X\) is shown below. When drawing without replacement, the probability of the second event depends on the outcome of the first event, as the total number of items changes.

X012
P(X)\( \frac{188}{221} \)\( \frac{32}{221} \)\( \frac{1}{221} \)

In simple words: We draw two cards from a deck, but we don't put the first one back. We want to find the chances of getting 0, 1, or 2 aces. Because we don't replace the card, the chances change for the second draw.

๐ŸŽฏ Exam Tip: Always adjust the denominator (total remaining cards) and numerator (remaining cards of a specific type) for each successive draw when sampling without replacement.

 

Question 9. From a list containing 25 items, 5 of which are defective, 4 are chosen at random. Let X be the number of defectives found. Obtain the probability distribution of X, if the items are chosen without replacement.
Answer:
We have a list of 25 items, where 5 are defective and \( 25 - 5 = 20 \) are non-defective. We choose 4 items without replacing them. \(X\) is the number of defective items we find among the 4 chosen.
The possible values for \(X\) are 0, 1, 2, 3, or 4.
First, find the total number of ways to choose 4 items from 25:
\( { }^{25} \mathrm{C}_4 = \frac{25 \times 24 \times 23 \times 22}{4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} = 12650 \) ways.
Probability of \(X = 0\) (getting no defective items, meaning all 4 are non-defective):
Choose 4 non-defective items from 20: \( { }^{20} \mathrm{C}_4 = \frac{20 \times 19 \times 18 \times 17}{4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} = 4845 \)
So, \( P(X = 0) = \frac{4845}{12650} = \frac{969}{2530} \)
Probability of \(X = 1\) (getting 1 defective and 3 non-defective items):
Choose 1 defective from 5 AND 3 non-defective from 20: \( { }^5 \mathrm{C}_1 \times { }^{20} \mathrm{C}_3 = 5 \times \frac{20 \times 19 \times 18}{3 \times 2 \times 1} = 5 \times 1140 = 5700 \)
So, \( P(X = 1) = \frac{5700}{12650} = \frac{114}{253} \)
Probability of \(X = 2\) (getting 2 defective and 2 non-defective items):
Choose 2 defective from 5 AND 2 non-defective from 20: \( { }^5 \mathrm{C}_2 \times { }^{20} \mathrm{C}_2 = \left( \frac{5 \times 4}{2 \times 1} \right) \times \left( \frac{20 \times 19}{2 \times 1} \right) = 10 \times 190 = 1900 \)
So, \( P(X = 2) = \frac{1900}{12650} = \frac{38}{253} \)
Probability of \(X = 3\) (getting 3 defective and 1 non-defective item):
Choose 3 defective from 5 AND 1 non-defective from 20: \( { }^5 \mathrm{C}_3 \times { }^{20} \mathrm{C}_1 = \left( \frac{5 \times 4}{2 \times 1} \right) \times 20 = 10 \times 20 = 200 \)
So, \( P(X = 3) = \frac{200}{12650} = \frac{4}{253} \)
Probability of \(X = 4\) (getting 4 defective items):
Choose 4 defective items from 5: \( { }^5 \mathrm{C}_4 = 5 \)
So, \( P(X = 4) = \frac{5}{12650} = \frac{1}{2530} \)
The probability distribution of \(X\) is shown in the table below. Quality control in manufacturing often uses probability distributions like this to estimate the likelihood of finding defective items in a sample.

X01234
P(X)\( \frac{969}{2530} \)\( \frac{114}{253} \)\( \frac{38}{253} \)\( \frac{4}{253} \)\( \frac{1}{2530} \)

In simple words: We have a group of items, some of which are faulty. We pick 4 items without putting them back. We then calculate the probability of getting 0, 1, 2, 3, or 4 faulty items in our selection.

๐ŸŽฏ Exam Tip: Ensure that the sum of the probabilities for all possible values of \(X\) equals 1 to verify your calculations. This is a common method for quality control sampling.

 

Question 10. A random variable A " has the following probability distribution.

X012345678
P(X)a3a5a7a9a11a13a15a17a

Determine:
(i) The value of a.
(ii) P(X < 3)
(iii) P(X > 4)
(iv) P(0 < X < 5)
Answer:
(i) For any probability distribution, the sum of all probabilities must be 1. So, we add all the probabilities given for \(X\) and set the sum equal to 1.
\( P(X=0) + P(X=1) + P(X=2) + P(X=3) + P(X=4) + P(X=5) + P(X=6) + P(X=7) + P(X=8) = 1 \)
\( \implies a + 3a + 5a + 7a + 9a + 11a + 13a + 15a + 17a = 1 \)
\( \implies 81a = 1 \)
\( \implies a = \frac{1}{81} \)
(ii) To find \( P(X < 3) \), we sum the probabilities for \(X=0\), \(X=1\), and \(X=2\).
\( P(X < 3) = P(X=0) + P(X=1) + P(X=2) \)
\( = a + 3a + 5a = 9a \)
Substitute the value of \(a\): \( 9 \times \frac{1}{81} = \frac{9}{81} = \frac{1}{9} \)
(iii) To find \( P(X > 4) \), we sum the probabilities for \(X=5\), \(X=6\), \(X=7\), and \(X=8\).
\( P(X > 4) = P(X=5) + P(X=6) + P(X=7) + P(X=8) \)
\( = 11a + 13a + 15a + 17a = 56a \)
Substitute the value of \(a\): \( 56 \times \frac{1}{81} = \frac{56}{81} \)
(iv) To find \( P(0 < X < 5) \), we sum the probabilities for \(X=1\), \(X=2\), \(X=3\), and \(X=4\).
\( P(0 < X < 5) = P(X=1) + P(X=2) + P(X=3) + P(X=4) \)
\( = 3a + 5a + 7a + 9a = 24a \)
Substitute the value of \(a\): \( 24 \times \frac{1}{81} = \frac{24}{81} = \frac{8}{27} \)
In simple words: First, we find the missing value 'a' by adding all probabilities and setting the sum to 1. Then, for parts (ii), (iii), and (iv), we add the 'a' values for the specific range of X to get the total probability.

๐ŸŽฏ Exam Tip: Carefully read the inequality signs (e.g., \( < \), \( \le \), \( > \), \( \ge \)) to correctly include or exclude boundary values when calculating probabilities for a range.

 

Question 11. A random variable X has the following probability distribution:

X01234567
P(X)a4a3a7a8a10a6a9a

(i) Find the value of a;
(ii) Find P(X < 3), P(X < 4), P(0 < X < 5);
(iii) Give the smallest value of m for which P(X > m) < 0.6.
Answer:
(i) For a probability distribution, the sum of all probabilities must equal 1. So, we add all the probabilities and set the sum to 1.
\( P(X=0) + P(X=1) + P(X=2) + P(X=3) + P(X=4) + P(X=5) + P(X=6) + P(X=7) = 1 \)
\( \implies a + 4a + 3a + 7a + 8a + 10a + 6a + 9a = 1 \)
\( \implies 48a = 1 \)
\( \implies a = \frac{1}{48} \)
(ii)
To find \( P(X < 3) \), we sum probabilities for \(X=0\), \(X=1\), and \(X=2\).
\( P(X < 3) = P(X=0) + P(X=1) + P(X=2) = a + 4a + 3a = 8a \)
Substitute \(a = \frac{1}{48}\): \( 8 \times \frac{1}{48} = \frac{8}{48} = \frac{1}{6} \) or approximately \( 0.167 \).
To find \( P(X < 4) \), we sum probabilities for \(X=0\), \(X=1\), \(X=2\), and \(X=3\).
\( P(X < 4) = P(X=0) + P(X=1) + P(X=2) + P(X=3) = a + 4a + 3a + 7a = 15a \)
Substitute \(a = \frac{1}{48}\): \( 15 \times \frac{1}{48} = \frac{15}{48} = \frac{5}{16} \) or \( 0.3125 \).
To find \( P(0 < X < 5) \), we sum probabilities for \(X=1\), \(X=2\), \(X=3\), and \(X=4\).
\( P(0 < X < 5) = P(X=1) + P(X=2) + P(X=3) + P(X=4) = 4a + 3a + 7a + 8a = 22a \)
Substitute \(a = \frac{1}{48}\): \( 22 \times \frac{1}{48} = \frac{22}{48} = \frac{11}{24} \) or approximately \( 0.458 \).
(iii) We need to find the smallest whole number \(m\) such that \( P(X > m) < 0.6 \).
Let's check values of \(m\) starting from the largest possible \(X\) minus 1:
If \(m=7\), \(P(X > 7) = 0\). This is \( < 0.6 \).
If \(m=6\), \(P(X > 6) = P(X=7) = 9a = 9 \times \frac{1}{48} = \frac{9}{48} = \frac{3}{16} = 0.1875\). This is \( < 0.6 \).
If \(m=5\), \(P(X > 5) = P(X=6) + P(X=7) = 6a + 9a = 15a = 15 \times \frac{1}{48} = \frac{15}{48} = \frac{5}{16} = 0.3125\). This is \( < 0.6 \).
If \(m=4\), \(P(X > 4) = P(X=5) + P(X=6) + P(X=7) = 10a + 6a + 9a = 25a = 25 \times \frac{1}{48} = \frac{25}{48} \approx 0.5208\). This is \( < 0.6 \).
If \(m=3\), \(P(X > 3) = P(X=4) + P(X=5) + P(X=6) + P(X=7) = 8a + 10a + 6a + 9a = 33a = 33 \times \frac{1}{48} = \frac{33}{48} = \frac{11}{16} = 0.6875\). This is NOT \( < 0.6 \).
Therefore, the smallest value of \(m\) for which \( P(X > m) < 0.6 \) is 4.
In simple words: First, we find 'a' by making sure all probabilities add up to 1. Then, we add up the probabilities for the given ranges of X. Finally, we test different 'm' values to find the smallest one where the chance of X being bigger than 'm' is less than 0.6.

๐ŸŽฏ Exam Tip: When finding values based on inequalities like \( P(X > m) < \text{value} \), it is often useful to calculate cumulative probabilities step-by-step and identify where the condition is first met.

 

Question 1. Which of the following experiments give a discrete random variable. (You are not asked to find any probabilities).
(i) A book is chosen at random from a shelf with 50 books and its author noted.
(ii) A book is chosen at random from a shelf with 50 books and the number of pages noted.
(iii) A pupil is chosen at random from a particular class and the pupil's name, is noted.
(iv) A pupil is chosen at random from a particular class and the pupil's height is recorded to the nearest cm.
(v) The number of cars passing a given point on the road between 10:00 and 11:00 hours on a particular day.
Answer:
(i) This is not a discrete random variable because the values (authors' names) are not numbers that can be counted. A discrete variable must have numerical outcomes.
(ii) This is a discrete random variable because the number of pages can be counted. We can assign specific integer values like 100, 250, 500, etc., to the number of pages.
(iii) This is not a discrete random variable because the pupil's name is not a numerical value that can be counted or ordered. Random variables need quantifiable outcomes.
(iv) This is a discrete random variable. Even though height can be continuous, when it is recorded to the nearest cm, it becomes a specific, countable numerical value. Measuring to a specific unit makes it discrete.
(v) This is a discrete random variable because the number of cars passing a point can be counted as specific, whole numbers (0, 1, 2, 3, etc.). Counting whole items makes a variable discrete.
In simple words: A discrete random variable is one where you can count the possible outcomes as whole numbers. If the outcomes are names or continuous measurements not rounded to a whole number, it's not discrete.

๐ŸŽฏ Exam Tip: Remember that "discrete" means countable outcomes, often whole numbers. "Continuous" means outcomes can take any value within a range.

 

Question 2. Determine which of the following can be probability distribution of a random variable X:
(a)

X012
P(X)0.40.40.2

(b)
X012
P(X)0.50.20.2

(ii) Find the value of A : if a random variable X has the following probability distribution:
X-2-10123
P(X)0.1k0.22k0.3k

Answer:
(i) (a) For this distribution, we sum the probabilities: \( P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) = 0.4 + 0.4 + 0.2 = 1.0 \). Since the sum of the probabilities is exactly 1, this is a valid probability distribution for a random variable X.
(b) For this distribution, we sum the probabilities: \( P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) = 0.5 + 0.2 + 0.2 = 0.9 \). Since the sum of the probabilities is 0.9, which is less than 1, this is not a valid probability distribution for a random variable X. The total probability must always be 1.
(ii) For a probability distribution, the sum of all probabilities must be equal to 1. So, \( \sum P(X) = 1 \) \( P(X = -2) + P(X = -1) + P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) = 1 \) \( 0.1 + K + 0.2 + 2K + 0.3 + K = 1 \) Now, combine the constant numbers and the terms with K: \( (0.1 + 0.2 + 0.3) + (K + 2K + K) = 1 \) \( 0.6 + 4K = 1 \) Next, subtract 0.6 from both sides: \( 4K = 1 - 0.6 \) \( 4K = 0.4 \) Finally, divide by 4 to find K: \( K = \frac{0.4}{4} \) \( K = 0.1 \) So, the value of K is 0.1, which makes the sum of all probabilities equal to 1.In simple words: For a list of probabilities to be a real probability distribution, all the chances must add up to exactly 1. If they don't, it's not a proper distribution. If there's a missing value, you can find it by making the total sum 1.

๐ŸŽฏ Exam Tip: Two key conditions for a valid probability distribution are: (1) each probability \( P(X=x) \) must be between 0 and 1 (inclusive), and (2) the sum of all probabilities \( \sum P(X=x) \) must be exactly 1.

 

Question 3. Two cards are drawn in succession from a well shuffled deck of 52 cards, the first card being replaced, before the second is drawn. Let X denote the number of spades drawn. Find the probability distribution of X.
Answer:
Here, X represents the number of spade cards drawn in two trials. Since the first card is replaced, the trials are independent. The possible values for X are 0, 1, or 2 (meaning zero spades, one spade, or two spades). First, let's find the probability of drawing a spade (p) and a non-spade (q) in a single draw. There are 13 spades in a deck of 52 cards. \( p = P(\text{getting a spade card}) = \frac{13}{52} = \frac{1}{4} \) The probability of not getting a spade card (q) is: \( q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{3}{4} \) Now, we calculate the probability for each value of X:
\( \implies \) When \( X = 0 \): This means getting no spade cards in two draws. \( P(X = 0) = P(\text{no spade card and no spade card}) = q \times q = \frac{3}{4} \times \frac{3}{4} = \frac{9}{16} \)
\( \implies \) When \( X = 1 \): This means getting one spade card in two draws. This can happen in two ways: (spade then non-spade) or (non-spade then spade). \( P(X = 1) = P(\text{spade, non-spade}) + P(\text{non-spade, spade}) = (p \times q) + (q \times p) \) \( P(X = 1) = \left( \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{3}{4} \right) + \left( \frac{3}{4} \times \frac{1}{4} \right) = \frac{3}{16} + \frac{3}{16} = \frac{6}{16} \)
\( \implies \) When \( X = 2 \): This means getting two spade cards in two draws. \( P(X = 2) = P(\text{spade and spade}) = p \times p = \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{1}{4} = \frac{1}{16} \) To confirm, the sum of probabilities is \( \frac{9}{16} + \frac{6}{16} + \frac{1}{16} = \frac{16}{16} = 1 \). The probability distribution of X is given below:

X012
P(X)\( \frac{9}{16} \)\( \frac{6}{16} \)\( \frac{1}{16} \)
In simple words: When you pick a card, put it back, then pick another, the chance of getting a spade is \( \frac{1}{4} \). We then figure out the chance of getting zero spades, one spade, or two spades in total.

๐ŸŽฏ Exam Tip: For problems involving drawing cards *with replacement*, the probability of an event remains the same for each draw, simplifying calculations. For "without replacement," probabilities change.

 

Question 4. Shew graphically the probability function of the discrete random variable X, where X is the number of heads appearing when an unbiased coin is tossed twice in succession.
Answer:
Let X be the number of heads appearing when an unbiased coin is tossed twice. First, we list the sample space (all possible outcomes) when a coin is tossed twice: Sample space \( = \{HH, HT, TH, TT\} \) The random variable X represents the number of heads. The possible values for X are 0, 1, and 2.
\( \implies \) For \( X = 0 \): This means getting zero heads, which is the outcome TT. \( P(X = 0) = P(TT) = \frac{1}{4} \)
\( \implies \) For \( X = 1 \): This means getting one head, which are the outcomes HT or TH. \( P(X = 1) = P(HT) + P(TH) = \frac{1}{4} + \frac{1}{4} = \frac{2}{4} = \frac{1}{2} \)
\( \implies \) For \( X = 2 \): This means getting two heads, which is the outcome HH. \( P(X = 2) = P(HH) = \frac{1}{4} \) The probability distribution is:

X012
P(X)\( \frac{1}{4} \)\( \frac{1}{2} \)\( \frac{1}{4} \)
The graphical representation of this probability distribution is a bar graph or a line graph showing the probability for each value of X. X P(X) 1/4 1/2 0 1 2 In simple words: When you flip a coin two times, you can get 0, 1, or 2 heads. We find the chance for each number of heads. Then, we show these chances on a graph, with points for each number of heads and their probability.

๐ŸŽฏ Exam Tip: When asked to "shew graphically", a simple plot with points or vertical lines (like a stem plot) at each discrete value of X, extending up to its probability P(X), is sufficient. Label axes clearly.

 

Question 5. A box contains 3 red marbles and 5 green marbles. Two marbles are taken at random without replacement and X is the number of green marbles obtained. Find the probability distribution of X in questions 5-7. Sketch the graphs.
Answer:
Let X be the number of green marbles obtained when two marbles are drawn without replacement. Total number of marbles in the box \( = 3 \text{ (red)} + 5 \text{ (green)} = 8 \) marbles. The possible values for X (number of green marbles) are 0, 1, or 2. We use combinations to find the probabilities since the order of drawing doesn't matter and it's without replacement. The total ways to choose 2 marbles from 8 is \( {}^{8}C_2 = \frac{8 \times 7}{2 \times 1} = 28 \).
\( \implies \) For \( X = 0 \): This means getting 0 green marbles and 2 red marbles. \( P(X = 0) = \frac{\text{ways to choose 0 green from 5} \times \text{ways to choose 2 red from 3}}{\text{total ways to choose 2 from 8}} = \frac{{}^{5}C_0 \times {}^{3}C_2}{{}^{8}C_2} \) \( {}^{5}C_0 = 1 \), \( {}^{3}C_2 = \frac{3 \times 2}{2 \times 1} = 3 \) \( P(X = 0) = \frac{1 \times 3}{28} = \frac{3}{28} \)
\( \implies \) For \( X = 1 \): This means getting 1 green marble and 1 red marble. \( P(X = 1) = \frac{\text{ways to choose 1 green from 5} \times \text{ways to choose 1 red from 3}}{\text{total ways to choose 2 from 8}} = \frac{{}^{5}C_1 \times {}^{3}C_1}{{}^{8}C_2} \) \( {}^{5}C_1 = 5 \), \( {}^{3}C_1 = 3 \) \( P(X = 1) = \frac{5 \times 3}{28} = \frac{15}{28} \)
\( \implies \) For \( X = 2 \): This means getting 2 green marbles and 0 red marbles. \( P(X = 2) = \frac{\text{ways to choose 2 green from 5} \times \text{ways to choose 0 red from 3}}{\text{total ways to choose 2 from 8}} = \frac{{}^{5}C_2 \times {}^{3}C_0}{{}^{8}C_2} \) \( {}^{5}C_2 = \frac{5 \times 4}{2 \times 1} = 10 \), \( {}^{3}C_0 = 1 \) \( P(X = 2) = \frac{10 \times 1}{28} = \frac{10}{28} \) The sum of probabilities is \( \frac{3}{28} + \frac{15}{28} + \frac{10}{28} = \frac{28}{28} = 1 \). The probability distribution of X is given below:

X012
P(X)\( \frac{3}{28} \)\( \frac{15}{28} \)\( \frac{10}{28} \)
Here's the graph for the probability distribution of X: X P(X) 3/28 10/28 15/28 0 1 2 In simple words: When you pick two marbles from a box without putting the first one back, the number of green marbles you get can be 0, 1, or 2. We use combinations to find the chance for each number of green marbles, and then plot these chances.

๐ŸŽฏ Exam Tip: For problems involving selections "without replacement", always use combinations (nCr) to calculate the total possible outcomes and the outcomes for specific events. Ensure your sum of probabilities equals 1.

 

Question 6. A fair coin has, the number '1' on one face and the number '2' on the other. The coin is thrown with a fair die and X is the sum of the scores. Find the probability distribution of X in questions 5-7. Sketch the graphs.
Answer:
Let X be the sum of the scores when a coin (with faces '1' and '2') is thrown with a fair die. The possible outcomes for the coin are {1, 2}. The possible outcomes for a fair die are {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}. The total number of outcomes when both are thrown is \( 2 \times 6 = 12 \). Each outcome has a probability of \( \frac{1}{12} \). The sample space (coin outcome, die outcome) is: \( \{(1,1), (1,2), (1,3), (1,4), (1,5), (1,6), (2,1), (2,2), (2,3), (2,4), (2,5), (2,6)\} \) The random variable X is the sum of the scores. The possible values for X are: \( X = \{1+1, 1+2, ..., 1+6, 2+1, ..., 2+6\} = \{2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8\} \) Now, we calculate the probability for each value of X:
\( \implies P(X = 2) = P(1,1) = \frac{1}{12} \)
\( \implies P(X = 3) = P(1,2) + P(2,1) = \frac{1}{12} + \frac{1}{12} = \frac{2}{12} \)
\( \implies P(X = 4) = P(1,3) + P(2,2) = \frac{1}{12} + \frac{1}{12} = \frac{2}{12} \)
\( \implies P(X = 5) = P(1,4) + P(2,3) = \frac{1}{12} + \frac{1}{12} = \frac{2}{12} \)
\( \implies P(X = 6) = P(1,5) + P(2,4) = \frac{1}{12} + \frac{1}{12} = \frac{2}{12} \)
\( \implies P(X = 7) = P(1,6) + P(2,5) = \frac{1}{12} + \frac{1}{12} = \frac{2}{12} \)
\( \implies P(X = 8) = P(2,6) = \frac{1}{12} \) The probability distribution of X is given below:

X2345678
P(X)\( \frac{1}{12} \)\( \frac{2}{12} \)\( \frac{2}{12} \)\( \frac{2}{12} \)\( \frac{2}{12} \)\( \frac{2}{12} \)\( \frac{1}{12} \)
Here's the graph for the probability distribution of X: X P(X) 1/12 2/12 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 In simple words: We list all the possible pairs when you throw a special coin (with 1 or 2) and a normal die (1 to 6). Then, we add up the numbers from each pair to find the total sum. The chance of each sum is shown in a table and on a graph.

๐ŸŽฏ Exam Tip: When dealing with multiple independent events (like a coin and a die), create a complete sample space to ensure all possible outcomes are identified. Then, group outcomes that lead to the same value of the random variable X.

 

Question 7. An urn contains 4 white and 3 red balls. Find the probability distribution of the number of red balls in a random draw of three balls. Find the probability distribution of X in questions 5-7. Sketch the graphs.
Answer:
Let X be the number of red balls drawn when three balls are selected at random from an urn containing 4 white and 3 red balls, without replacement. Total number of balls in the urn \( = 4 \text{ (white)} + 3 \text{ (red)} = 7 \) balls. We are drawing 3 balls. The total number of ways to choose 3 balls from 7 is \( {}^{7}C_3 = \frac{7 \times 6 \times 5}{3 \times 2 \times 1} = 35 \). The possible values for X (number of red balls) are 0, 1, 2, or 3.
\( \implies \) For \( X = 0 \): This means getting 0 red balls and 3 white balls. \( P(X = 0) = \frac{\text{ways to choose 0 red from 3} \times \text{ways to choose 3 white from 4}}{\text{total ways to choose 3 from 7}} = \frac{{}^{3}C_0 \times {}^{4}C_3}{{}^{7}C_3} \) \( {}^{3}C_0 = 1 \), \( {}^{4}C_3 = \frac{4 \times 3 \times 2}{3 \times 2 \times 1} = 4 \) \( P(X = 0) = \frac{1 \times 4}{35} = \frac{4}{35} \)
\( \implies \) For \( X = 1 \): This means getting 1 red ball and 2 white balls. \( P(X = 1) = \frac{\text{ways to choose 1 red from 3} \times \text{ways to choose 2 white from 4}}{\text{total ways to choose 3 from 7}} = \frac{{}^{3}C_1 \times {}^{4}C_2}{{}^{7}C_3} \) \( {}^{3}C_1 = 3 \), \( {}^{4}C_2 = \frac{4 \times 3}{2 \times 1} = 6 \) \( P(X = 1) = \frac{3 \times 6}{35} = \frac{18}{35} \)
\( \implies \) For \( X = 2 \): This means getting 2 red balls and 1 white ball. \( P(X = 2) = \frac{\text{ways to choose 2 red from 3} \times \text{ways to choose 1 white from 4}}{\text{total ways to choose 3 from 7}} = \frac{{}^{3}C_2 \times {}^{4}C_1}{{}^{7}C_3} \) \( {}^{3}C_2 = 3 \), \( {}^{4}C_1 = 4 \) \( P(X = 2) = \frac{3 \times 4}{35} = \frac{12}{35} \)
\( \implies \) For \( X = 3 \): This means getting 3 red balls and 0 white balls. \( P(X = 3) = \frac{\text{ways to choose 3 red from 3} \times \text{ways to choose 0 white from 4}}{\text{total ways to choose 3 from 7}} = \frac{{}^{3}C_3 \times {}^{4}C_0}{{}^{7}C_3} \) \( {}^{3}C_3 = 1 \), \( {}^{4}C_0 = 1 \) \( P(X = 3) = \frac{1 \times 1}{35} = \frac{1}{35} \) The sum of probabilities is \( \frac{4}{35} + \frac{18}{35} + \frac{12}{35} + \frac{1}{35} = \frac{35}{35} = 1 \). The probability distribution of X is given below:

X0123
P(X)\( \frac{4}{35} \)\( \frac{18}{35} \)\( \frac{12}{35} \)\( \frac{1}{35} \)
Here's the graph for the probability distribution of X: X P(X) 1/35 4/35 12/35 18/35 0 1 2 3 In simple words: When you pick three balls from the urn without putting them back, the number of red balls you get can be from 0 to 3. We use combinations to find the chance of getting each number of red balls and then show this on a graph.

๐ŸŽฏ Exam Tip: When setting up combinations for probability, ensure you correctly identify the total number of items, the number of items being chosen, and the specific categories (e.g., red/white balls, aces/non-aces). Double-check that your selections for each category add up to the total number of items chosen.

 

Question 8. Two cards are drawn successively without replacement from a well shuffled pack of 52 cards. Find the probability distribution of the number of aces.
Answer:
Let X be the number of aces drawn when two cards are drawn successively without replacement from a deck of 52 cards. A standard deck has 52 cards: 4 aces and \( 52 - 4 = 48 \) non-aces. The possible values for X (number of aces) are 0, 1, or 2.
\( \implies \) For \( X = 0 \): This means getting no aces in two draws. The probability of drawing a non-ace first is \( \frac{48}{52} \). Since the first card is not replaced, there are now 51 cards left, with 47 non-aces. The probability of drawing a second non-ace is \( \frac{47}{51} \). So, \( P(X = 0) = \frac{48}{52} \times \frac{47}{51} = \frac{12}{13} \times \frac{47}{51} = \frac{4 \times 47}{13 \times 17} = \frac{188}{221} \)
\( \implies \) For \( X = 1 \): This means getting one ace and one non-ace. This can happen in two ways: (ace then non-ace) or (non-ace then ace). Case 1: Ace first, then Non-Ace. \( P(\text{Ace then Non-Ace}) = \frac{4}{52} \times \frac{48}{51} \) Case 2: Non-Ace first, then Ace. \( P(\text{Non-Ace then Ace}) = \frac{48}{52} \times \frac{4}{51} \) So, \( P(X = 1) = \left( \frac{4}{52} \times \frac{48}{51} \right) + \left( \frac{48}{52} \times \frac{4}{51} \right) \) \( P(X = 1) = 2 \times \frac{4 \times 48}{52 \times 51} = 2 \times \frac{192}{2652} = \frac{384}{2652} = \frac{32}{221} \)
\( \implies \) For \( X = 2 \): This means getting two aces in two draws. The probability of drawing an ace first is \( \frac{4}{52} \). Since the first card is not replaced, there are now 51 cards left, with 3 aces. The probability of drawing a second ace is \( \frac{3}{51} \). So, \( P(X = 2) = \frac{4}{52} \times \frac{3}{51} = \frac{12}{2652} = \frac{1}{221} \) The sum of probabilities is \( \frac{188}{221} + \frac{32}{221} + \frac{1}{221} = \frac{221}{221} = 1 \). Thus, the probability distribution of X is given by:

X012
P(X)\( \frac{188}{221} \)\( \frac{32}{221} \)\( \frac{1}{221} \)
In simple words: When you pick two cards from a deck without putting the first one back, the chance of drawing an ace changes for the second pick. We calculate the probability of getting zero, one, or two aces this way.

๐ŸŽฏ Exam Tip: For "without replacement" problems, remember that the total number of items and the number of specific items decrease after each selection. This changes the denominator and numerator for subsequent probabilities.

 

Question 9. From a list containing 25 items, 5 of which are defective, 4 are chosen at random. Let X be the number of defectives found. Obtain the probability distribution of X, if the items are chosen without replacement.
Answer:
Let X be the number of defective items found when 4 items are chosen from a list of 25 items without replacement. Total number of items \( = 25 \) Number of defective items \( = 5 \) Number of non-defective items \( = 25 - 5 = 20 \) We are choosing 4 items. The total number of ways to choose 4 items from 25 is \( {}^{25}C_4 \). \( {}^{25}C_4 = \frac{25 \times 24 \times 23 \times 22}{4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} = 12650 \) The possible values for X (number of defective items) are 0, 1, 2, 3, or 4.
\( \implies \) For \( X = 0 \): This means getting 0 defective items and 4 non-defective items. \( P(X = 0) = \frac{{}^{5}C_0 \times {}^{20}C_4}{{}^{25}C_4} = \frac{1 \times \frac{20 \times 19 \times 18 \times 17}{4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1}}{12650} = \frac{1 \times 4845}{12650} = \frac{969}{2530} \)
\( \implies \) For \( X = 1 \): This means getting 1 defective item and 3 non-defective items. \( P(X = 1) = \frac{{}^{5}C_1 \times {}^{20}C_3}{{}^{25}C_4} = \frac{5 \times \frac{20 \times 19 \times 18}{3 \times 2 \times 1}}{12650} = \frac{5 \times 1140}{12650} = \frac{5700}{12650} = \frac{114}{253} \)
\( \implies \) For \( X = 2 \): This means getting 2 defective items and 2 non-defective items. \( P(X = 2) = \frac{{}^{5}C_2 \times {}^{20}C_2}{{}^{25}C_4} = \frac{\frac{5 \times 4}{2 \times 1} \times \frac{20 \times 19}{2 \times 1}}{12650} = \frac{10 \times 190}{12650} = \frac{1900}{12650} = \frac{38}{253} \)
\( \implies \) For \( X = 3 \): This means getting 3 defective items and 1 non-defective item. \( P(X = 3) = \frac{{}^{5}C_3 \times {}^{20}C_1}{{}^{25}C_4} = \frac{\frac{5 \times 4 \times 3}{3 \times 2 \times 1} \times 20}{12650} = \frac{10 \times 20}{12650} = \frac{200}{12650} = \frac{4}{253} \)
\( \implies \) For \( X = 4 \): This means getting 4 defective items and 0 non-defective items. \( P(X = 4) = \frac{{}^{5}C_4 \times {}^{20}C_0}{{}^{25}C_4} = \frac{5 \times 1}{12650} = \frac{5}{12650} = \frac{1}{2530} \) The sum of probabilities is \( \frac{969}{2530} + \frac{114}{253} + \frac{38}{253} + \frac{4}{253} + \frac{1}{2530} = \frac{969 + 1140 + 380 + 40 + 1}{2530} = \frac{2530}{2530} = 1 \). Thus, the probability distribution of random variable X is given by:

X01234
P(X)\( \frac{969}{2530} \)\( \frac{114}{253} \)\( \frac{38}{253} \)\( \frac{4}{253} \)\( \frac{1}{2530} \)
In simple words: When you pick a few items from a group that has some faulty ones, without putting them back, the number of faulty items you get changes. We figure out the chance of getting 0, 1, 2, 3, or 4 faulty items using combinations.

๐ŸŽฏ Exam Tip: Clearly define your total population, the number of successful items, and the number of failed items. Use combinations consistently for sampling without replacement. Simplifying fractions at each step can make final verification easier.

 

Question 10. A random variable X has the following probability distribution.

X012345678
P(X)a3a5a7a9a11a13a15a17a

Determine:
(i) The value of a.
(ii) P(X < 3), P(X < 4), P(0 < X < 5).
(iii) Give the smallest value of m for which P(X > m) < 0.6.
Answer:
(i) For any probability distribution, the sum of all probabilities must be equal to 1. So, \( \sum P(X) = 1 \) \( P(X=0) + P(X=1) + P(X=2) + P(X=3) + P(X=4) + P(X=5) + P(X=6) + P(X=7) + P(X=8) = 1 \) \( a + 3a + 5a + 7a + 9a + 11a + 13a + 15a + 17a = 1 \) Adding all the 'a' terms: \( (1 + 3 + 5 + 7 + 9 + 11 + 13 + 15 + 17)a = 1 \) \( 81a = 1 \) Therefore, the value of a is: \( a = \frac{1}{81} \) This value ensures that all probabilities sum up to 1.
(ii) We need to find \( P(X < 3) \), \( P(X < 4) \), and \( P(0 < X < 5) \).
\( \implies P(X < 3) = P(X=0) + P(X=1) + P(X=2) \) \( P(X < 3) = a + 3a + 5a = 9a \) Substitute \( a = \frac{1}{81} \): \( P(X < 3) = 9 \times \frac{1}{81} = \frac{9}{81} = \frac{1}{9} \)
\( \implies P(X < 4) = P(X=0) + P(X=1) + P(X=2) + P(X=3) \) \( P(X < 4) = a + 3a + 5a + 7a = 16a \) Substitute \( a = \frac{1}{81} \): \( P(X < 4) = 16 \times \frac{1}{81} = \frac{16}{81} \)
\( \implies P(0 < X < 5) = P(X=1) + P(X=2) + P(X=3) + P(X=4) \) \( P(0 < X < 5) = 3a + 5a + 7a + 9a = 24a \) Substitute \( a = \frac{1}{81} \): \( P(0 < X < 5) = 24 \times \frac{1}{81} = \frac{24}{81} = \frac{8}{27} \)
(iii) We need to find the smallest integer value of m for which \( P(X > m) < 0.6 \). Using \( a = \frac{1}{81} \): \( P(X > m) = \sum_{k=m+1}^{8} P(X=k) \) Let's check values for m:
\( \implies \) For \( m=0 \): \( P(X > 0) = P(X=1) + \ldots + P(X=8) = (3+5+7+9+11+13+15+17)a = 80a = \frac{80}{81} \approx 0.988 \) (not less than 0.6)
\( \implies \) For \( m=1 \): \( P(X > 1) = P(X=2) + \ldots + P(X=8) = (5+7+9+11+13+15+17)a = 77a = \frac{77}{81} \approx 0.951 \) (not less than 0.6)
\( \implies \) For \( m=2 \): \( P(X > 2) = P(X=3) + \ldots + P(X=8) = (7+9+11+13+15+17)a = 72a = \frac{72}{81} \approx 0.889 \) (not less than 0.6)
\( \implies \) For \( m=3 \): \( P(X > 3) = P(X=4) + \ldots + P(X=8) = (9+11+13+15+17)a = 65a = \frac{65}{81} \approx 0.802 \) (not less than 0.6)
\( \implies \) For \( m=4 \): \( P(X > 4) = P(X=5) + P(X=6) + P(X=7) + P(X=8) = (11+13+15+17)a = 56a = \frac{56}{81} \approx 0.691 \) (not less than 0.6)
\( \implies \) For \( m=5 \): \( P(X > 5) = P(X=6) + P(X=7) + P(X=8) = (13+15+17)a = 45a = \frac{45}{81} \approx 0.556 \) (this is less than 0.6) Therefore, the smallest integer value of m for which \( P(X > m) < 0.6 \) is \( m = 5 \).In simple words: First, we use the rule that all probabilities must add up to 1 to find the value of 'a'. Then, we sum the probabilities for different ranges of X, like 'X less than 3' or 'X between 0 and 5'. Finally, we find the smallest whole number 'm' where the chance of X being bigger than 'm' is less than 0.6.

๐ŸŽฏ Exam Tip: When finding probabilities for inequalities (like \( P(X < k) \) or \( P(X > k) \)), carefully identify the exact values of X that satisfy the condition. For finding 'm', testing values sequentially helps determine the smallest or largest integer that meets the criteria.

 

Question 11. A random variable X has the following probability distribution:

X01234567
P(X)a4a3a7a8a10a6a9a

(i) Find the value of a;
(ii) Find P(X < 3), P(X < 4), P(0 < X < 5);
(iii) Give the smallest value of m for which P(X > m) < 0.6.
Answer:
(i) For a probability distribution, the sum of all probabilities must be equal to 1. So, \( \sum P(X) = 1 \) \( P(X=0) + P(X=1) + P(X=2) + P(X=3) + P(X=4) + P(X=5) + P(X=6) + P(X=7) = 1 \) \( a + 4a + 3a + 7a + 8a + 10a + 6a + 9a = 1 \) Adding all the 'a' terms: \( (1 + 4 + 3 + 7 + 8 + 10 + 6 + 9)a = 1 \) \( 48a = 1 \) Therefore, the value of a is: \( a = \frac{1}{48} \) This value ensures that all individual probabilities are positive and sum to one.
(ii) We need to find \( P(X < 3) \), \( P(X < 4) \), and \( P(0 < X < 5) \).
\( \implies P(X < 3) = P(X=0) + P(X=1) + P(X=2) \) \( P(X < 3) = a + 4a + 3a = 8a \) Substitute \( a = \frac{1}{48} \): \( P(X < 3) = 8 \times \frac{1}{48} = \frac{8}{48} = \frac{1}{6} \)
\( \implies P(X < 4) = P(X=0) + P(X=1) + P(X=2) + P(X=3) \) \( P(X < 4) = a + 4a + 3a + 7a = 15a \) Substitute \( a = \frac{1}{48} \): \( P(X < 4) = 15 \times \frac{1}{48} = \frac{15}{48} = \frac{5}{16} \)
\( \implies P(0 < X < 5) = P(X=1) + P(X=2) + P(X=3) + P(X=4) \) \( P(0 < X < 5) = 4a + 3a + 7a + 8a = 22a \) Substitute \( a = \frac{1}{48} \): \( P(0 < X < 5) = 22 \times \frac{1}{48} = \frac{22}{48} = \frac{11}{24} \)
(iii) We need to find the smallest integer value of m for which \( P(X > m) < 0.6 \). Using \( a = \frac{1}{48} \). We calculate cumulative probabilities from the right:
\( \implies \) For \( m=0 \): \( P(X > 0) = (4+3+7+8+10+6+9)a = 47a = \frac{47}{48} \approx 0.979 \) (not less than 0.6)
\( \implies \) For \( m=1 \): \( P(X > 1) = (3+7+8+10+6+9)a = 43a = \frac{43}{48} \approx 0.896 \) (not less than 0.6)
\( \implies \) For \( m=2 \): \( P(X > 2) = (7+8+10+6+9)a = 40a = \frac{40}{48} \approx 0.833 \) (not less than 0.6)
\( \implies \) For \( m=3 \): \( P(X > 3) = (8+10+6+9)a = 33a = \frac{33}{48} \approx 0.688 \) (not less than 0.6)
\( \implies \) For \( m=4 \): \( P(X > 4) = (10+6+9)a = 25a = \frac{25}{48} \approx 0.521 \) (this is less than 0.6) Therefore, the smallest integer value of m for which \( P(X > m) < 0.6 \) is \( m = 4 \).In simple words: First, we find the value of 'a' by making all the chances add up to 1. Then we calculate the chance for X to be in certain ranges, like 'X less than 3'. Finally, we find the smallest whole number 'm' such that the chance of X being greater than 'm' is less than 0.6.

๐ŸŽฏ Exam Tip: Always pay close attention to the inequality signs (e.g., \( < \), \( \le \), \( > \), \( \ge \)) when calculating probabilities for ranges of a random variable, as they determine which values of X are included in the sum. For 'smallest m', work through possible values until the condition is met.

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