IMO Maths Olympiad Class 10 Chapter 15 Probability MCQs with Answers

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These 15 IMO-style multiple choice questions on Probability for Class 10 test the basic definition of probability with coins, dice, playing cards, marbles, lettered and numbered cards, probability of an event and its complement, geometric probability and matching probabilities of events, with everyday situations such as leap years, lottery tickets, defective bulbs and shop visits. Each question has the correct answer with a step-by-step explanation and a short teacher's note, so you can practise for the International Mathematics Olympiad and check your working.

Mathematical Reasoning

Question 1: There are 100 cards in a bag on which numbers from 1 to 100 are written. A card is taken out from the bag at random. Find the probability that the number on the selected card is divisible by 9 and is a perfect square.
(a) \( \dfrac{9}{100} \)
(b) \( \dfrac{1}{25} \)
(c) \( \dfrac{7}{100} \)
(d) \( \dfrac{3}{100} \)
Show Answer & Explanation

Answer: (d) \( \dfrac{3}{100} \)

Explanation:
1. A perfect square divisible by 9 must be the square of a multiple of 3.
2. Such numbers up to 100 are 3² = 9, 6² = 36 and 9² = 81, so there are 3 favourable outcomes.
3. Probability = \( \dfrac{3}{100} \).

Teacher's Note:
1. If 9 divides n² then 3 divides n, so list the squares of 3, 6, 9.
2. Check that 12² = 144 is already beyond 100.

Question 2: Three cards of spades are lost from a pack of 52 playing cards. The remaining cards were well shuffled and then a card was drawn at random from them. Find the probability that the drawn card is of black colour.
(a) \( \dfrac{26}{49} \)
(b) \( \dfrac{23}{49} \)
(c) \( \dfrac{13}{26} \)
(d) \( \dfrac{23}{52} \)
Show Answer & Explanation

Answer: (b) \( \dfrac{23}{49} \)

Explanation:
1. Cards left = 52 − 3 = 49.
2. Black cards = 13 spades + 13 clubs = 26 originally; 3 spades are lost, so 26 − 3 = 23 black cards remain.
3. Probability = \( \dfrac{23}{49} \).

Teacher's Note:
1. Spades and clubs are both black, so there are 26 black cards in a full pack.
2. Remember to reduce both the favourable cases and the total.

Question 3: The king, queen and jack of clubs are removed from a deck of 52 playing cards and then well-shuffled. One card is selected from the remaining cards. The probability of getting a club is ______.
(a) \( \dfrac{13}{49} \)
(b) \( \dfrac{10}{49} \)
(c) \( \dfrac{3}{49} \)
(d) \( \dfrac{1}{49} \)
Show Answer & Explanation

Answer: (b) \( \dfrac{10}{49} \)

Explanation:
1. Cards remaining = 52 − 3 = 49.
2. Clubs remaining = 13 − 3 = 10.
3. Probability of a club = \( \dfrac{10}{49} \).

Teacher's Note:
1. Removed clubs lower both the number of clubs and the total number of cards.
2. Do not keep 52 as the denominator.

Question 4: Cards marked with numbers 13, 14, 15, ......., 60 are placed in a box and mixed thoroughly. One card is drawn at random from the box. Find the probability that number on the drawn card is
(i) divisible by 5.
(ii) a number which is a perfect square.
(a) (i) \( \dfrac{5}{24} \), (ii) \( \dfrac{1}{24} \)
(b) (i) \( \dfrac{5}{24} \), (ii) \( \dfrac{1}{12} \)
(c) (i) \( \dfrac{1}{12} \), (ii) \( \dfrac{5}{12} \)
(d) None of these
Show Answer & Explanation

Answer: (b) (i) \( \dfrac{5}{24} \), (ii) \( \dfrac{1}{12} \)

Explanation:
1. Number of cards = 60 − 13 + 1 = 48.
2. (i) Multiples of 5: 15, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45, 50, 55, 60 are 10 numbers, so probability = \( \dfrac{10}{48} \) = \( \dfrac{5}{24} \).
3. (ii) Perfect squares: 16, 25, 36, 49 are 4 numbers, so probability = \( \dfrac{4}{48} \) = \( \dfrac{1}{12} \).

Teacher's Note:
1. The count from 13 to 60 is 60 − 13 + 1 = 48, not 60 − 13 = 47 and not 60 − 12 + 1.
2. List the favourable numbers so none is missed.

Question 5: A bag contains three green, four blue and two orange marbles. If a marble is picked at random, then the probability that it is not an orange marble, is ______.
(a) \( \dfrac{1}{4} \)
(b) \( \dfrac{1}{3} \)
(c) \( \dfrac{4}{9} \)
(d) \( \dfrac{7}{9} \)
Show Answer & Explanation

Answer: (d) \( \dfrac{7}{9} \)

Explanation:
1. Total marbles = 3 + 4 + 2 = 9.
2. Marbles that are not orange = 3 + 4 = 7.
3. Probability = \( \dfrac{7}{9} \).

Teacher's Note:
1. Equivalently, P(not orange) = 1 − P(orange) = 1 − 2/9.
2. Count the favourable marbles directly to avoid slips.

Question 6: A bag contains 6 blue and 4 green marbles. If a marble is drawn at random from the bag, the probability that the marble drawn is green, is ______.
(a) \( \dfrac{2}{5} \)
(b) \( \dfrac{1}{5} \)
(c) \( \dfrac{4}{5} \)
(d) \( \dfrac{1}{10} \)
Show Answer & Explanation

Answer: (a) \( \dfrac{2}{5} \)

Explanation:
1. Total marbles = 6 + 4 = 10.
2. Green marbles = 4.
3. Probability = \( \dfrac{4}{10} \) = \( \dfrac{2}{5} \).

Teacher's Note:
1. Always reduce the fraction to its simplest form.
2. Probability = favourable outcomes ÷ total outcomes.

Question 7: A letter is chosen at random from the letters of the word ‘ASSOCIATION’. Find the probability that the chosen letter is a vowel.
(a) \( \dfrac{3}{11} \)
(b) \( \dfrac{5}{11} \)
(c) \( \dfrac{6}{11} \)
(d) \( \dfrac{7}{11} \)
Show Answer & Explanation

Answer: (c) \( \dfrac{6}{11} \)

Explanation:
1. ASSOCIATION has 11 letters: A, S, S, O, C, I, A, T, I, O, N.
2. The vowels are A, O, I, A, I, O, i.e. 6 of them (repeated letters are counted each time).
3. Probability = \( \dfrac{6}{11} \).

Teacher's Note:
1. Count repeated letters separately, because each position in the word is a possible outcome.
2. Count the total letters first (11), then the vowels.

Question 8: A jar contains 54 marbles each of which is blue, green or white. The probability of selecting a blue marble at random from the jar is \( \dfrac{1}{3} \), and the probability of selecting a green marble at random is \( \dfrac{4}{9} \). How many white marbles does the jar contain?
(a) 12
(b) 6
(c) 9
(d) 11
Show Answer & Explanation

Answer: (a) 12

Explanation:
1. Blue marbles = \( \dfrac{1}{3} \) × 54 = 18.
2. Green marbles = \( \dfrac{4}{9} \) × 54 = 24.
3. White marbles = 54 − 18 − 24 = 12.

Teacher's Note:
1. Number of marbles of a colour = probability × total.
2. Alternatively, P(white) = 1 − 1/3 − 4/9 = 2/9, and 2/9 of 54 is 12.

Question 9: Two dice are thrown simultaneously. The probability of getting a doublet or a total of 4 is ______.
(a) \( \dfrac{2}{9} \)
(b) \( \dfrac{3}{7} \)
(c) \( \dfrac{4}{9} \)
(d) \( \dfrac{5}{9} \)
Show Answer & Explanation

Answer: (a) \( \dfrac{2}{9} \)

Explanation:
1. Total outcomes = 36.
2. Doublets: (1,1), (2,2), (3,3), (4,4), (5,5), (6,6) are 6 outcomes. Total 4: (1,3), (3,1), (2,2) are 3 outcomes.
3. (2,2) is in both lists, so favourable outcomes = 6 + 3 − 1 = 8, and probability = \( \dfrac{8}{36} \) = \( \dfrac{2}{9} \).

Teacher's Note:
1. Do not count the outcome (2, 2) twice.
2. For ‘A or B’ use n(A) + n(B) − n(A and B).

Everyday Mathematics

Question 10: 250 lottery tickets were sold and there are 5 prizes on these tickets. If Kunal has purchased one lottery ticket, what is the probability that he wins a prize?
(a) \( \dfrac{1}{50} \)
(b) \( \dfrac{1}{125} \)
(c) \( \dfrac{3}{125} \)
(d) \( \dfrac{3}{50} \)
Show Answer & Explanation

Answer: (a) \( \dfrac{1}{50} \)

Explanation:
1. Total tickets = 250 and winning tickets = 5.
2. Probability = \( \dfrac{5}{250} \) = \( \dfrac{1}{50} \).

Teacher's Note:
1. Each ticket is equally likely to be the one Kunal holds.
2. Simplify by dividing both numbers by 5.

Question 11: It is known that a box of 600 electric bulbs contains 12 defective bulbs. One bulb is taken out at random from this box. What is the probability that it is a non-defective bulb?
(a) 0.45
(b) 0.98
(c) 0.57
(d) 0.85
Show Answer & Explanation

Answer: (b) 0.98

Explanation:
1. Non-defective bulbs = 600 − 12 = 588.
2. Probability = \( \dfrac{588}{600} \) = \( \dfrac{49}{50} \) = 0.98.

Teacher's Note:
1. P(defective) = 12/600 = 0.02, so P(non-defective) = 1 − 0.02 = 0.98.
2. Answers in decimals should match the exact fraction.

Question 12: Honey goes to school by a car driven by his driver or uses his bicycle. Probability that he will use the car is \( \dfrac{3}{7} \). What is the probability that he will use his bicycle for going to the school?
(a) \( \dfrac{1}{7} \)
(b) \( \dfrac{6}{7} \)
(c) \( \dfrac{4}{7} \)
(d) \( \dfrac{5}{7} \)
Show Answer & Explanation

Answer: (c) \( \dfrac{4}{7} \)

Explanation:
1. He uses either the car or the bicycle, so the two probabilities add up to 1.
2. P(bicycle) = 1 − \( \dfrac{3}{7} \) = \( \dfrac{4}{7} \).

Teacher's Note:
1. The two events cover all possibilities and cannot happen together.
2. This is the complement rule.

Achievers Section (HOTS)

Question 13: In the given figure, JKLM is a square with sides of length 6 units. Points A and B are the mid-points of sides KL and LM respectively. If a point is selected at random from the interior of the square. What is the probability that the point will be chosen from the interior of △JAB?
K A L B J M (a) \( \dfrac{5}{8} \)
(b) \( \dfrac{7}{8} \)
(c) \( \dfrac{3}{4} \)
(d) \( \dfrac{3}{8} \)
Show Answer & Explanation

Answer: (d) \( \dfrac{3}{8} \)

Explanation:
1. Area of square JKLM = 6² = 36 sq. units; KA = AL = LB = BM = 3.
2. The three corner triangles outside △JAB have areas: △JKA = \( \dfrac{1}{2} \times 6 \times 3 \) = 9, △ALB = \( \dfrac{1}{2} \times 3 \times 3 \) = \( \dfrac{9}{2} \), △JMB = 9.
3. Area of △JAB = 36 − \( \left(9 + 9 + \dfrac{9}{2}\right) \) = \( \dfrac{27}{2} \).
4. Probability = \( \dfrac{27/2}{36} \) = \( \dfrac{3}{8} \).

Teacher's Note:
1. Geometric probability is area of the favourable region ÷ area of the whole region.
2. Subtract the three right triangles at the corners instead of using a formula for △JAB.

Question 14: Two dice are thrown simultaneously. Match the probability of events in column-I to the column-II.
Column-IColumn-II
(P) Sum as prime number(i) \( \dfrac{11}{36} \)
(Q) Multiple of 2 on one dice and multiple of 3 on other dice(ii) \( \dfrac{1}{12} \)
(R) Total of at least 10(iii) \( \dfrac{5}{12} \)
(S) Doublet of even numbers(iv) \( \dfrac{1}{6} \)

(a) P → (iv), Q → (i), R → (iii), S → (ii)
(b) P → (iv), Q → (iii), R → (i), S → (ii)
(c) P → (iii), Q → (ii), R → (iv), S → (i)
(d) P → (iii), Q → (i), R → (iv), S → (ii)
Show Answer & Explanation

Answer: (d) P → (iii), Q → (i), R → (iv), S → (ii)

Explanation:
1. (P) Prime sums 2, 3, 5, 7, 11 occur in 1 + 2 + 4 + 6 + 2 = 15 outcomes: \( \dfrac{15}{36} \) = \( \dfrac{5}{12} \) → (iii).
2. (Q) First die even and second a multiple of 3: 3 × 2 = 6; first a multiple of 3 and second even: 6; both counted: (6,6). So 6 + 6 − 1 = 11 outcomes: \( \dfrac{11}{36} \) → (i).
3. (R) Total 10, 11 or 12: 3 + 2 + 1 = 6 outcomes: \( \dfrac{6}{36} \) = \( \dfrac{1}{6} \) → (iv).
4. (S) Even doublets (2,2), (4,4), (6,6): \( \dfrac{3}{36} \) = \( \dfrac{1}{12} \) → (ii).

Teacher's Note:
1. In part (Q) the outcome (6, 6) fits both descriptions, so count it only once.
2. Check the answer by looking at which Column-II values are left for the last item.

Question 15: Fill in the blanks.
(i) In a single throw of a dice, the probability of getting a number greater than 2 is   P  .
(ii) A card is drawn from a deck of 52 cards. The probability of drawing a red card is   Q   and a face card is   R  .
(iii) A bag contains 2 blue and 3 green marbles, then the probability of drawing red marble   S  .
(a) P: \( \dfrac{1}{3} \), Q: \( \dfrac{11}{26} \), R: \( \dfrac{2}{11} \), S: 1
(b) P: \( \dfrac{1}{6} \), Q: \( \dfrac{1}{4} \), R: \( \dfrac{3}{11} \), S: 0
(c) P: \( \dfrac{2}{3} \), Q: \( \dfrac{1}{2} \), R: \( \dfrac{3}{13} \), S: 0
(d) P: \( \dfrac{2}{3} \), Q: \( \dfrac{1}{2} \), R: \( \dfrac{3}{13} \), S: \( \dfrac{3}{5} \)
Show Answer & Explanation

Answer: (c) P: \( \dfrac{2}{3} \), Q: \( \dfrac{1}{2} \), R: \( \dfrac{3}{13} \), S: 0

Explanation:
1. (i) Numbers greater than 2 are 3, 4, 5, 6, so P = \( \dfrac{4}{6} \) = \( \dfrac{2}{3} \).
2. (ii) A deck has 26 red cards, so Q = \( \dfrac{26}{52} \) = \( \dfrac{1}{2} \), and 12 face cards (J, Q, K in 4 suits), so R = \( \dfrac{12}{52} \) = \( \dfrac{3}{13} \).
3. (iii) The bag has no red marble, so S = 0 (an impossible event).

Teacher's Note:
1. Face cards are the jack, queen and king of each suit, 12 in all (aces are not face cards).
2. An event that cannot happen has probability 0.

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